Globe Life Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| GL Stock | USD 143.93 1.98 1.39% |
Globe Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength indicator of Globe Life's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Globe Life hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Globe Life from the perspective of Globe Life response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Globe Life on the next trading day is expected to be 143.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.91. Globe Life after-hype prediction price | USD 143.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Globe Life to cross-verify your projections. Globe Life Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Globe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Globe using various technical indicators. When you analyze Globe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Globe Life Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Globe Life on the next trading day is expected to be 143.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.34, mean absolute percentage error of 2.94, and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Globe Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Globe Life's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Globe Life Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Globe Life | Globe Life Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Globe Life Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Globe Life's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Globe Life's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 142.78 and 145.07, respectively. We have considered Globe Life's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Globe Life stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Globe Life stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2234 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3375 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0096 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 78.9114 |
Predictive Modules for Globe Life
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Globe Life. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Globe Life After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Globe Life at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Globe Life or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Globe Life, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Globe Life Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Globe Life's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Globe Life's historical news coverage. Globe Life's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 142.61 and 144.89, respectively. We have considered Globe Life's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Globe Life is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Globe Life is based on 3 months time horizon.
Globe Life Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Globe Life is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Globe Life backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Globe Life, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
143.93 | 143.75 | 0.10 |
|
Globe Life Hype Timeline
As of February 11, 2026 Globe Life is listed for 143.93. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Globe is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 143.75 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Globe Life is about 4104.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 143.93. The company generated the yearly revenue of 6 B. Reported Net Income was 1.16 B with gross profit of 2.02 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Globe Life to cross-verify your projections.Globe Life Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Globe Life's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Globe Life's future price movements. Getting to know how Globe Life's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Globe Life may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UNM | Unum Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.63 | (1.70) | 6.86 | |
| PRI | Primerica | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | (0.08) | 1.59 | (1.87) | 4.96 | |
| AIZ | Assurant | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.59 | (1.80) | 5.64 | |
| LNC | Lincoln National | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.74 | (3.44) | 8.37 | |
| AFG | American Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.36 | (2.02) | 5.39 | |
| ORI | Old Republic International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.20 | (0.01) | 2.47 | (1.95) | 12.07 | |
| AEG | Aegon NV ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.14 | (0.06) | 2.74 | (2.18) | 11.41 | |
| GGAL | Grupo Financiero Galicia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.96 | (4.14) | 16.38 | |
| MET | MetLife | 0.25 | 7 per month | 1.42 | (0.02) | 2.56 | (2.98) | 7.06 |
Other Forecasting Options for Globe Life
For every potential investor in Globe, whether a beginner or expert, Globe Life's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Globe Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Globe. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Globe Life's price trends.Globe Life Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Globe Life stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Globe Life could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Globe Life by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Globe Life Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Globe Life stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Globe Life shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Globe Life stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Globe Life entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 7437.8 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.6429 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 143.17 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 143.42 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.75 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.98 |
Globe Life Risk Indicators
The analysis of Globe Life's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Globe Life's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting globe stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8815 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9302 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Variance | 1.31 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8653 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.00) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Globe Life
The number of cover stories for Globe Life depends on current market conditions and Globe Life's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Globe Life is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Globe Life's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Globe Life to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Globe Stock please use our How to buy in Globe Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Life & Health Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Globe Life. Market participants price Globe higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Globe Life assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
The market value of Globe Life is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Globe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Globe Life's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Globe Life's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Globe Life's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Globe Life's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Globe Life's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Globe Life is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Globe Life's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.