Hanmi Financial Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| HAFC Stock | USD 27.96 0.06 0.22% |
Hanmi Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hanmi Financial stock prices and determine the direction of Hanmi Financial's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Hanmi Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Hanmi Financial's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Hanmi Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hanmi Financial from the perspective of Hanmi Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hanmi Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 27.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.42. Hanmi Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 27.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hanmi Financial to cross-verify your projections. Hanmi Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hanmi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hanmi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hanmi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hanmi Financial Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hanmi Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 27.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hanmi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hanmi Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hanmi Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hanmi Financial | Hanmi Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Hanmi Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hanmi Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hanmi Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.51 and 30.36, respectively. We have considered Hanmi Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hanmi Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hanmi Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1124 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4478 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0164 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.4178 |
Predictive Modules for Hanmi Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hanmi Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hanmi Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hanmi Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hanmi Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hanmi Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hanmi Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hanmi Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hanmi Financial's historical news coverage. Hanmi Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.45 and 30.33, respectively. We have considered Hanmi Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hanmi Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hanmi Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hanmi Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hanmi Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hanmi Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hanmi Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 2.42 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.96 | 27.89 | 0.04 |
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Hanmi Financial Hype Timeline
Hanmi Financial is currently traded for 27.96. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Hanmi is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.89. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Hanmi Financial is about 1833.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.95. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.03. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hanmi Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.14. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of February 2026. The firm had 1:8 split on the 19th of December 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hanmi Financial to cross-verify your projections.Hanmi Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hanmi Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hanmi Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Hanmi Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hanmi Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CFFN | Capitol Federal Financial | 0.05 | 6 per month | 1.10 | 0.22 | 3.13 | (1.77) | 8.42 | |
| MOFG | MidWestOne Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.17 | 0.16 | 3.03 | (2.28) | 13.04 | |
| CPF | Central Pacific Financial | (1.14) | 7 per month | 1.20 | 0.17 | 2.86 | (2.04) | 9.76 | |
| AMAL | Amalgamated Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.04 | 0.28 | 3.73 | (1.87) | 8.01 | |
| HFWA | Heritage Financial | (0.40) | 10 per month | 1.39 | 0.16 | 4.71 | (2.14) | 12.71 | |
| ESQ | Esquire Financial Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.33 | 0.12 | 4.24 | (2.63) | 8.48 | |
| SBSI | Southside Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.82 | 0.16 | 2.83 | (1.34) | 8.89 | |
| FMBH | First Mid Illinois | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.01 | 0.16 | 3.52 | (1.45) | 9.25 | |
| FSBC | Five Star Bancorp | 0.17 | 10 per month | 1.21 | 0.12 | 3.59 | (2.36) | 10.06 | |
| BFST | Business First Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.18 | 2.72 | (1.57) | 8.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hanmi Financial
For every potential investor in Hanmi, whether a beginner or expert, Hanmi Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hanmi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hanmi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hanmi Financial's price trends.Hanmi Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hanmi Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hanmi Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hanmi Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hanmi Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hanmi Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hanmi Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hanmi Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hanmi Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4740.69 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1154 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 27.88 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 27.91 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.11 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.06 |
Hanmi Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hanmi Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hanmi Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hanmi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.42 | |||
| Variance | 5.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.55) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hanmi Financial
The number of cover stories for Hanmi Financial depends on current market conditions and Hanmi Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hanmi Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hanmi Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hanmi Financial Short Properties
Hanmi Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hanmi Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hanmi Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hanmi Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hanmi Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hanmi Financial to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Hanmi Stock refer to our How to Trade Hanmi Stock guide.You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Hanmi diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hanmi Financial. Market participants price Hanmi higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Hanmi Financial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Hanmi Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Hanmi Financial's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Hanmi Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hanmi Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hanmi Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Hanmi Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.