HCI Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| HCI Stock | USD 158.50 1.52 0.95% |
HCI Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of HCI's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, the relative strength indicator of HCI's share price is approaching 31. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling HCI, making its price go up or down. Momentum 31
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 16.123 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.228 | EPS Estimate Current Year 20.3775 | EPS Estimate Next Year 16.1633 | Wall Street Target Price 245 |
Using HCI hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HCI Group from the perspective of HCI response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards HCI using HCI's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards HCI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of HCI's stock price.
HCI Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in HCI's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards HCI. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of HCI stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 167.9973 | Short Percent 0.0514 | Short Ratio 3.64 | Shares Short Prior Month 469 K | 50 Day MA 179.3782 |
HCI Relative Strength Index
HCI Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to HCI's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in HCI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding HCI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around HCI Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of HCI's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about HCI.
HCI Implied Volatility | 0.6 |
HCI's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of HCI Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if HCI's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that HCI stock will not fluctuate a lot when HCI's options are near their expiration.
HCI after-hype prediction price | USD 155.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of HCI to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current HCI contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that HCI Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0375% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With HCI trading at USD 158.5, that is roughly USD 0.0594 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating HCI's daily price movement you should consider acquiring HCI Group options at the current volatility level of 0.6%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 HCI Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast HCI's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in HCI's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for HCI stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current HCI's open interest, investors have to compare it to HCI's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of HCI is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in HCI. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
HCI Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine HCI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HCI using various technical indicators. When you analyze HCI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 0.0375 | 0.0375 |
| Check HCI Volatility | Backtest HCI | Information Ratio |
HCI Trading Date Momentum
| On January 26 2026 HCI Group was traded for 158.50 at the closing time. Highest HCI's price during the trading hours was 160.69 and the lowest price during the day was 154.67 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 26th of January did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.96% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare HCI to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for HCI
For every potential investor in HCI, whether a beginner or expert, HCI's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HCI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HCI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HCI's price trends.HCI Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HCI stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HCI could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HCI by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
HCI Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HCI stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HCI shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HCI stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HCI Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
HCI Risk Indicators
The analysis of HCI's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HCI's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hci stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Variance | 4.46 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for HCI
The number of cover stories for HCI depends on current market conditions and HCI's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that HCI is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about HCI's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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HCI Short Properties
HCI's future price predictability will typically decrease when HCI's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of HCI Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential HCI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HCI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of HCI to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HCI. If investors know HCI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about HCI listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 16.123 | Dividend Share 1.6 | Earnings Share 15.77 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.48 |
The market value of HCI Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of HCI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of HCI's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is HCI's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because HCI's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect HCI's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between HCI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HCI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HCI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.