Hartford Financial Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| HIG Stock | USD 142.56 0.26 0.18% |
Hartford Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Hartford Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of February 2026 the relative strength indicator of Hartford Financial's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.378 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.3391 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.384 | EPS Estimate Next Year 14.4532 | Wall Street Target Price 149.5 |
Using Hartford Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hartford Financial Services from the perspective of Hartford Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hartford Financial using Hartford Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hartford using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hartford Financial's stock price.
Hartford Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Hartford Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Hartford. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Hartford Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 129.8037 | Short Percent 0.0244 | Short Ratio 3.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.5 M | 50 Day MA 135.2286 |
Hartford Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hartford Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 136.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 197.65.Hartford Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Hartford Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hartford. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hartford can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hartford Financial Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hartford Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hartford Financial.
Hartford Financial Implied Volatility | 0.44 |
Hartford Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hartford Financial Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hartford Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hartford Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hartford Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hartford Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 136.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 197.65. Hartford Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 142.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hartford Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Hartford contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Hartford Financial Services will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0275% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Hartford Financial trading at USD 142.56, that is roughly USD 0.0392 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Hartford Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Hartford Financial Services options at the current volatility level of 0.44%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Hartford Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Hartford Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Hartford Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Hartford Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Hartford Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Hartford Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Hartford Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Hartford. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Hartford Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hartford price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hartford using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hartford charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hartford Financial Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Hartford Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 136.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.24, mean absolute percentage error of 13.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 197.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hartford Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hartford Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hartford Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hartford Financial | Hartford Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Hartford Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hartford Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hartford Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 135.10 and 137.27, respectively. We have considered Hartford Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hartford Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hartford Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.7478 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.2401 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0241 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 197.6456 |
Predictive Modules for Hartford Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hartford Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hartford Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hartford Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hartford Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hartford Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hartford Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hartford Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hartford Financial's historical news coverage. Hartford Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 141.67 and 143.83, respectively. We have considered Hartford Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hartford Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hartford Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hartford Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hartford Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hartford Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hartford Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.08 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
142.56 | 142.75 | 0.13 |
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Hartford Financial Hype Timeline
On the 8th of February Hartford Financial is traded for 142.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Hartford is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 142.75 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 124.14%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Hartford Financial is about 384.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 142.60. The company reported the last year's revenue of 28.26 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 3.11 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 10.61 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hartford Financial to cross-verify your projections.Hartford Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hartford Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hartford Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Hartford Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hartford Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AXAHY | Axa SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.81 | 0.02 | 1.77 | (1.33) | 4.74 | |
| GSHD | Goosehead Insurance | 0.31 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.65 | (3.99) | 12.49 | |
| IGIC | International General Insurance | 0.28 | 9 per month | 0.90 | 0.14 | 2.20 | (1.31) | 9.34 | |
| ESGR | Enstar Group Limited | 0.55 | 3 per month | 0.07 | (0.33) | 0.37 | (0.20) | 0.85 | |
| ACGL | Arch Capital Group | 0.94 | 12 per month | 0.71 | 0.15 | 1.92 | (1.25) | 4.71 | |
| AEG | Aegon NV ADR | 0.07 | 9 per month | 2.08 | (0.01) | 2.74 | (2.18) | 11.41 | |
| BRK-B | Berkshire Hathaway | (0.04) | 21 per month | 0.94 | (0.08) | 1.24 | (1.44) | 3.84 | |
| EQH | Axa Equitable Holdings | (0.41) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.67 | (3.12) | 7.60 | |
| AIG | American International Group | 0.99 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.43 | (2.43) | 13.58 | |
| SLF | Sun Life Financial | 0.00 | 8 per month | 1.12 | 0.03 | 1.51 | (1.76) | 4.76 | |
| ACGLO | Arch Capital Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.51 | (0.16) | 0.72 | (0.87) | 2.61 | |
| ORI | Old Republic International | 0.68 | 9 per month | 2.07 | 0.06 | 2.11 | (1.95) | 12.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hartford Financial
For every potential investor in Hartford, whether a beginner or expert, Hartford Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hartford Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hartford. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hartford Financial's price trends.Hartford Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hartford Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hartford Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hartford Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hartford Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hartford Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hartford Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hartford Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hartford Financial Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hartford Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hartford Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hartford Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hartford stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8276 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6879 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Variance | 1.25 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9879 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4731 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.88) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hartford Financial
The number of cover stories for Hartford Financial depends on current market conditions and Hartford Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hartford Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hartford Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Hartford Financial Short Properties
Hartford Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hartford Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hartford Financial Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hartford Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hartford Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 286.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.5 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hartford Financial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Can Multi-line Insurance industry sustain growth momentum? Does Hartford have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hartford Financial. Market participants price Hartford higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Hartford Financial demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.378 | Dividend Share 2.16 | Earnings Share 13.32 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.065 |
Hartford Financial's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Hartford's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Hartford Financial's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Hartford Financial's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hartford Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hartford Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hartford Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.