Hilton Worldwide Stock Forward View
| HLT Stock | USD 302.93 4.42 1.48% |
Hilton Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Hilton Worldwide's stock price is slightly above 62. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hilton, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Hilton Worldwide hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hilton Worldwide Holdings from the perspective of Hilton Worldwide response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hilton Worldwide Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 301.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 241.12. Hilton Worldwide after-hype prediction price | USD 302.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hilton Worldwide to cross-verify your projections. Hilton Worldwide Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hilton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hilton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hilton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hilton Worldwide Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hilton Worldwide Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 301.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.95, mean absolute percentage error of 24.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 241.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hilton Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hilton Worldwide's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hilton Worldwide Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hilton Worldwide | Hilton Worldwide Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Hilton Worldwide Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hilton Worldwide's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hilton Worldwide's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 300.42 and 303.29, respectively. We have considered Hilton Worldwide's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hilton Worldwide stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hilton Worldwide stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.3034 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.9528 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.014 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 241.1205 |
Predictive Modules for Hilton Worldwide
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hilton Worldwide Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hilton Worldwide After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hilton Worldwide at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hilton Worldwide or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hilton Worldwide, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hilton Worldwide Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hilton Worldwide's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hilton Worldwide's historical news coverage. Hilton Worldwide's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 301.49 and 304.37, respectively. We have considered Hilton Worldwide's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hilton Worldwide is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hilton Worldwide Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hilton Worldwide Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hilton Worldwide is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hilton Worldwide backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hilton Worldwide, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 1.44 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
302.93 | 302.93 | 0.00 |
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Hilton Worldwide Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Hilton Worldwide Holdings is traded for 302.93. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.08. Hilton is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hilton Worldwide is about 510.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 303.01. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.67. Hilton Worldwide Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.87. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2025. The firm had 1000:2052 split on the 4th of January 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hilton Worldwide to cross-verify your projections.Hilton Worldwide Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hilton Worldwide's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hilton Worldwide's future price movements. Getting to know how Hilton Worldwide's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hilton Worldwide may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MAR | Marriott International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.04 | 0.14 | 3.48 | (1.47) | 8.46 | |
| AZO | AutoZone | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.68 | (0.01) | 2.51 | (2.16) | 9.68 | |
| GM | General Motors | 2.75 | 6 per month | 1.26 | 0.13 | 3.93 | (2.62) | 11.37 | |
| RACE | Ferrari NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.95 | (2.63) | 7.22 | |
| ROST | Ross Stores | 0.13 | 10 per month | 0.57 | 0.16 | 1.44 | (1.23) | 11.17 | |
| CPNG | Coupang LLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 2.66 | (5.07) | 11.82 | |
| TCOM | Trip Group Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.70 | (3.34) | 21.80 | |
| RCL | Royal Caribbean Cruises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.90 | 0.13 | 4.85 | (3.23) | 24.81 | |
| F | Ford Motor | (0.06) | 5 per month | 1.22 | 0.03 | 3.38 | (2.35) | 7.16 | |
| ABNB | Airbnb Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.61 | 0.05 | 2.66 | (2.00) | 8.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for Hilton Worldwide
For every potential investor in Hilton, whether a beginner or expert, Hilton Worldwide's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hilton Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hilton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hilton Worldwide's price trends.Hilton Worldwide Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hilton Worldwide stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hilton Worldwide could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hilton Worldwide by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hilton Worldwide Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hilton Worldwide stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hilton Worldwide shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hilton Worldwide stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hilton Worldwide Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hilton Worldwide Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hilton Worldwide's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hilton Worldwide's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hilton stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9157 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Variance | 2.06 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.4 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8386 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hilton Worldwide
The number of cover stories for Hilton Worldwide depends on current market conditions and Hilton Worldwide's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hilton Worldwide is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hilton Worldwide's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hilton Worldwide Short Properties
Hilton Worldwide's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hilton Worldwide's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hilton Worldwide Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hilton Worldwide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hilton Worldwide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 247.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Additional Tools for Hilton Stock Analysis
When running Hilton Worldwide's price analysis, check to measure Hilton Worldwide's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hilton Worldwide is operating at the current time. Most of Hilton Worldwide's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hilton Worldwide's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hilton Worldwide's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hilton Worldwide to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.