Income Opportunity Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| IOR Stock | USD 18.30 0.30 1.67% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Income Opportunity Realty on the next trading day is expected to be 18.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.20. Income Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Income Opportunity's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Income Opportunity's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Income Opportunity fundamentals over time.
As of today the rsi of Income Opportunity's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) |
Using Income Opportunity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Income Opportunity Realty from the perspective of Income Opportunity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Income Opportunity Realty on the next trading day is expected to be 18.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.20. Income Opportunity after-hype prediction price | USD 18.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Income Opportunity to cross-verify your projections. Income Opportunity Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Income price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Income using various technical indicators. When you analyze Income charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Income Opportunity Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Income Opportunity Realty on the next trading day is expected to be 18.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Income Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Income Opportunity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Income Opportunity Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Income Opportunity | Income Opportunity Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Income Opportunity Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Income Opportunity's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Income Opportunity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.02 and 20.52, respectively. We have considered Income Opportunity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Income Opportunity stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Income Opportunity stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.4722 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0017 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1867 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0102 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.1996 |
Predictive Modules for Income Opportunity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Income Opportunity Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Income Opportunity After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Income Opportunity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Income Opportunity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Income Opportunity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Income Opportunity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Income Opportunity's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Income Opportunity's historical news coverage. Income Opportunity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.03 and 20.57, respectively. We have considered Income Opportunity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Income Opportunity is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Income Opportunity Realty is based on 3 months time horizon.
Income Opportunity Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Income Opportunity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Income Opportunity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Income Opportunity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 2.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.30 | 18.30 | 0.00 |
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Income Opportunity Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Income Opportunity Realty is traded for 18.30. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Income is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Income Opportunity is about 9000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.30. About 91.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.59. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Income Opportunity Realty last dividend was issued on the 15th of September 2000. The entity had 3:1 split on the 15th of June 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Income Opportunity to cross-verify your projections.Income Opportunity Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Income Opportunity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Income Opportunity's future price movements. Getting to know how Income Opportunity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Income Opportunity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CPBI | Central Plains Bancshares | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.88 | 0.05 | 1.37 | (1.11) | 5.01 | |
| OFS | OFS Capital Corp | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.51 | (5.92) | 16.93 | |
| FUSB | First Bancshares | 0.10 | 11 per month | 1.61 | 0.10 | 2.98 | (2.82) | 13.31 | |
| DOMH | Dominari Holdings | (0.06) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.27 | (8.39) | 24.67 | |
| FDSB | Fifth District Bancorp | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.32 | 0.12 | 1.28 | (1.05) | 3.97 | |
| UBCP | United Bancorp | (0.08) | 8 per month | 1.39 | 0.01 | 2.86 | (2.56) | 8.48 | |
| HNNA | Hennessy Ad | 0.10 | 10 per month | 2.26 | 0 | 2.77 | (3.16) | 10.92 | |
| OAKU | Oak Woods Acquisition | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.68 | (0.11) | 1.24 | (1.07) | 6.66 | |
| DAIC | CID HoldCo Common | 0.15 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 8.39 | (17.65) | 55.68 | |
| BOTJ | Bank of the | (0.01) | 8 per month | 1.27 | 0.07 | 2.78 | (2.51) | 9.56 |
Other Forecasting Options for Income Opportunity
For every potential investor in Income, whether a beginner or expert, Income Opportunity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Income Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Income. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Income Opportunity's price trends.Income Opportunity Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Income Opportunity stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Income Opportunity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Income Opportunity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Income Opportunity Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Income Opportunity stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Income Opportunity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Income Opportunity stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Income Opportunity Realty entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Income Opportunity Risk Indicators
The analysis of Income Opportunity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Income Opportunity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting income stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9203 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Variance | 4.77 | |||
| Downside Variance | 20.73 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.52 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.44) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Income Opportunity
The number of cover stories for Income Opportunity depends on current market conditions and Income Opportunity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Income Opportunity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Income Opportunity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Income Opportunity Short Properties
Income Opportunity's future price predictability will typically decrease when Income Opportunity's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Income Opportunity Realty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Income Opportunity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Income Opportunity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9000.00 |
Additional Tools for Income Stock Analysis
When running Income Opportunity's price analysis, check to measure Income Opportunity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Income Opportunity is operating at the current time. Most of Income Opportunity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Income Opportunity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Income Opportunity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Income Opportunity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.