Jack In Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| JACK Stock | USD 20.81 0.98 4.50% |
Jack Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Jack In's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Jack In's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Jack In fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength indicator of Jack In's share price is at 53. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Jack In, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.6337 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.8872 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.0159 | Wall Street Target Price 21.75 |
Using Jack In hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jack In The from the perspective of Jack In response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Jack In using Jack In's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Jack using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Jack In's stock price.
Jack In Short Interest
An investor who is long Jack In may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Jack In and may potentially protect profits, hedge Jack In with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 20.064 | Short Percent 0.271 | Short Ratio 8.22 | Shares Short Prior Month 5 M | 50 Day MA 19.5572 |
Jack Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jack In The on the next trading day is expected to be 20.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.53.Jack In Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Jack In's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Jack. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Jack can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Jack In The. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Jack In's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Jack In.
Jack In Implied Volatility | 0.83 |
Jack In's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Jack In The stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Jack In's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Jack In stock will not fluctuate a lot when Jack In's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jack In The on the next trading day is expected to be 20.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.53. Jack In after-hype prediction price | USD 20.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jack In to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Jack contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Jack In The will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0519% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Jack In trading at USD 20.81, that is roughly USD 0.0108 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Jack In's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Jack In The options at the current volatility level of 0.83%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Jack Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Jack In's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Jack In's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Jack In stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Jack In's open interest, investors have to compare it to Jack In's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Jack In is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Jack. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Jack In Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jack price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jack using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jack charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Jack In Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jack In The on the next trading day is expected to be 20.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jack Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jack In's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Jack In Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Jack In | Jack In Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Jack In Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Jack In's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jack In's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.48 and 25.04, respectively. We have considered Jack In's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jack In stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jack In stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1317 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6361 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0333 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.53 |
Predictive Modules for Jack In
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jack In. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jack In's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jack In After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jack In at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jack In or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jack In, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Jack In Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jack In's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jack In's historical news coverage. Jack In's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.24 and 24.80, respectively. We have considered Jack In's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jack In is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jack In is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jack In Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jack In is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jack In backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jack In, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 4.28 | 0.29 | 0.12 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.81 | 20.52 | 1.39 |
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Jack In Hype Timeline
Jack In is currently traded for 20.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. Jack is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.52. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.39%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.52%. The volatility of related hype on Jack In is about 1893.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.93. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.37. Jack In recorded a loss per share of 4.24. The entity last dividend was issued on the 20th of March 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 16th of October 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jack In to cross-verify your projections.Jack In Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jack In's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jack In's future price movements. Getting to know how Jack In's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jack In may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LOCO | El Pollo Loco | 0.12 | 10 per month | 1.95 | 0.03 | 3.20 | (3.22) | 16.59 | |
| TWNP | Twin Hospitality Group | 1.04 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.38) | 6.74 | (14.04) | 47.23 | |
| BNED | Barnes Noble Education | 0.42 | 11 per month | 3.11 | (0) | 4.69 | (5.18) | 42.63 | |
| DIN | Dine Brands Global | (0.06) | 9 per month | 2.12 | 0.1 | 4.67 | (4.27) | 13.87 | |
| CTRN | Citi Trends | 0.05 | 23 per month | 2.54 | 0.07 | 4.68 | (4.27) | 15.07 | |
| MPX | Marine Products | 0.1 | 10 per month | 2.35 | 0.02 | 3.53 | (3.49) | 10.53 | |
| EMPD | Empery Digital | (0.27) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 5.81 | (9.18) | 20.15 | |
| PTLO | Portillos | 0.11 | 12 per month | 2.64 | (0.02) | 5.19 | (4.41) | 14.89 | |
| GCO | Genesco | 0.79 | 7 per month | 5.85 | 0.04 | 8.14 | (4.04) | 39.13 | |
| INVZ | Innoviz Technologies | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.14 | (7.48) | 34.74 |
Other Forecasting Options for Jack In
For every potential investor in Jack, whether a beginner or expert, Jack In's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jack Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jack. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jack In's price trends.Jack In Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jack In stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jack In could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jack In by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Jack In Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jack In stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jack In shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jack In stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jack In The entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.81 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.81 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.49) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.98) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.15 |
Jack In Risk Indicators
The analysis of Jack In's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jack In's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jack stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.28 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.33 | |||
| Variance | 18.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 18.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 16.25 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Jack In
The number of cover stories for Jack In depends on current market conditions and Jack In's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jack In is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jack In's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Jack In Short Properties
Jack In's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jack In's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jack In The often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jack In's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jack In's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 51.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jack In to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jack In. Expected growth trajectory for Jack significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Jack In assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Dividend Share 0.88 | Earnings Share (4.24) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Understanding Jack In requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Jack's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Jack In's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Jack In's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Jack In's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Jack In represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Jack In's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.