Jack In Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

JACK Stock  USD 22.06  0.60  2.65%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jack In The on the next trading day is expected to be 22.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.45. Jack Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Jack In's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Jack In's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Jack In fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of Jack In's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Jack In's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jack In The, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Jack In's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.74)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.6337
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.987
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.147
Wall Street Target Price
21.5
Using Jack In hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jack In The from the perspective of Jack In response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Jack In using Jack In's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Jack using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Jack In's stock price.

Jack In Short Interest

An investor who is long Jack In may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Jack In and may potentially protect profits, hedge Jack In with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
20.2699
Short Percent
0.3738
Short Ratio
7.74
Shares Short Prior Month
4.9 M
50 Day MA
18.3784

Jack In Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Jack In's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Jack. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Jack can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Jack In The. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Jack In's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Jack In.

Jack In Implied Volatility

    
  0.82  
Jack In's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Jack In The stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Jack In's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Jack In stock will not fluctuate a lot when Jack In's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jack In The on the next trading day is expected to be 22.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.45.

Jack In after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 22.64  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jack In to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Jack In's Inventory Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is expected to rise to 26.14 this year, although the value of Receivables Turnover will most likely fall to 17.86. . The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to slide to about 16.4 M. The value of Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to slide to about 109.8 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Jack Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Jack In's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Jack In's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Jack In stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Jack In's open interest, investors have to compare it to Jack In's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Jack In is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Jack. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Jack In Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Jack price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jack using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jack charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Jack In simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Jack In The are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Jack In prices get older.

Jack In Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jack In The on the next trading day is expected to be 22.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jack Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jack In's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jack In Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Jack InJack In Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Jack In Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jack In's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jack In's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.86 and 26.26, respectively. We have considered Jack In's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.06
22.06
Expected Value
26.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jack In stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jack In stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.7166
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0832
MADMean absolute deviation0.5742
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0315
SAESum of the absolute errors34.45
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Jack In The forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Jack In observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Jack In

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jack In. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jack In's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.4422.6426.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.2019.4023.60
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.5721.5023.87
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.841.181.92
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jack In

For every potential investor in Jack, whether a beginner or expert, Jack In's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jack Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jack. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jack In's price trends.

Jack In Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jack In stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jack In could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jack In by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jack In Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jack In's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jack In's current price.

Jack In Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jack In stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jack In shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jack In stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jack In The entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jack In Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jack In's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jack In's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jack stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Prophet
When determining whether Jack In is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Jack Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Jack In The Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Jack In The Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jack In to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jack In. If investors know Jack will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jack In listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.74)
Dividend Share
0.88
Earnings Share
(4.24)
Revenue Per Share
76.903
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Jack In is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jack that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jack In's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jack In's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jack In's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jack In's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jack In's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jack In is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jack In's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.