Loma Negra Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| LOMA Stock | USD 11.28 0.50 4.64% |
Loma Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Loma Negra stock prices and determine the direction of Loma Negra Compania's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Loma Negra's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Loma Negra's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.99) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1819 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3185 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.592 | Wall Street Target Price 15 |
Using Loma Negra hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Loma Negra Compania from the perspective of Loma Negra response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Loma Negra using Loma Negra's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Loma using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Loma Negra's stock price.
Loma Negra Implied Volatility | 1.51 |
Loma Negra's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Loma Negra Compania stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Loma Negra's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Loma Negra stock will not fluctuate a lot when Loma Negra's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Loma Negra Compania on the next trading day is expected to be 11.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.52. Loma Negra after-hype prediction price | USD 11.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Loma Negra to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Loma contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Loma Negra Compania will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0944% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Loma Negra trading at USD 11.28, that is roughly USD 0.0106 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Loma Negra's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Loma Negra Compania options at the current volatility level of 1.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Loma Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Loma Negra's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Loma Negra's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Loma Negra stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Loma Negra's open interest, investors have to compare it to Loma Negra's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Loma Negra is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Loma. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Loma Negra Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Loma price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Loma using various technical indicators. When you analyze Loma charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Loma Negra Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Loma Negra Compania on the next trading day is expected to be 11.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Loma Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Loma Negra's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Loma Negra Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Loma Negra | Loma Negra Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Loma Negra Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Loma Negra's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Loma Negra's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.85 and 13.71, respectively. We have considered Loma Negra's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Loma Negra stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Loma Negra stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6301 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -7.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2216 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0183 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.52 |
Predictive Modules for Loma Negra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Loma Negra Compania. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Loma Negra After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Loma Negra at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Loma Negra or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Loma Negra, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Loma Negra Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Loma Negra's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Loma Negra's historical news coverage. Loma Negra's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.84 and 13.72, respectively. We have considered Loma Negra's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Loma Negra is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Loma Negra Compania is based on 3 months time horizon.
Loma Negra Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Loma Negra is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Loma Negra backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Loma Negra, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 2.43 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.28 | 11.28 | 0.00 |
|
Loma Negra Hype Timeline
Loma Negra Compania is now traded for 11.28. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Loma is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Loma Negra is about 668.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.29. About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.85. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Loma Negra Compania last dividend was issued on the 30th of June 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Loma Negra to cross-verify your projections.Loma Negra Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Loma Negra's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Loma Negra's future price movements. Getting to know how Loma Negra's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Loma Negra may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LAC | Lithium Americas Corp | (0.09) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.11 | (8.70) | 19.72 | |
| SVM | Silvercorp Metals | (0.65) | 8 per month | 4.12 | 0.16 | 8.22 | (6.03) | 27.66 | |
| IPX | IperionX Limited American | 2.21 | 10 per month | 5.07 | (0.01) | 7.31 | (8.29) | 18.56 | |
| CRML | Critical Metals Corp | 0.61 | 10 per month | 7.39 | 0.04 | 20.25 | (12.58) | 50.81 | |
| REX | REX American Resources | 0.82 | 9 per month | 1.54 | 0.04 | 2.78 | (2.66) | 8.84 | |
| CPAC | Cementos Pacasmayo SAA | (0.06) | 10 per month | 1.87 | 0.11 | 3.76 | (3.42) | 57.41 | |
| HUN | Huntsman | 0.46 | 10 per month | 2.26 | 0.21 | 6.19 | (4.90) | 16.93 | |
| VZLA | Vizsla Resources Corp | 0.03 | 9 per month | 5.94 | 0.02 | 7.64 | (13.01) | 27.19 | |
| NAK | Northern Dynasty Minerals | (0.06) | 10 per month | 4.52 | 0.02 | 8.29 | (8.13) | 23.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for Loma Negra
For every potential investor in Loma, whether a beginner or expert, Loma Negra's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Loma Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Loma. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Loma Negra's price trends.Loma Negra Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Loma Negra stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Loma Negra could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Loma Negra by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Loma Negra Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Loma Negra stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Loma Negra shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Loma Negra stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Loma Negra Compania entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10128.02 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.162791 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.09 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.15 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.44 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.5 |
Loma Negra Risk Indicators
The analysis of Loma Negra's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Loma Negra's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting loma stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Variance | 6.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.77 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.52) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Loma Negra
The number of cover stories for Loma Negra depends on current market conditions and Loma Negra's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Loma Negra is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Loma Negra's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Loma Negra Short Properties
Loma Negra's future price predictability will typically decrease when Loma Negra's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Loma Negra Compania often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Loma Negra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Loma Negra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 116.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Loma Negra to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the AI Portfolio Prophet module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Construction Materials space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Loma Negra. Expected growth trajectory for Loma significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Loma Negra assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.99) | Earnings Share 0.06 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) | Return On Assets |
Loma Negra Compania's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Loma's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Loma Negra's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Loma Negra's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Loma Negra's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Loma Negra represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Loma Negra's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.