Lundin Mining Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| LUN Stock | CAD 35.21 0.80 2.22% |
Lundin Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Lundin Mining's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Lundin Mining's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Lundin Mining fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength momentum indicator of Lundin Mining's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.462 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2229 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7691 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.0748 | Wall Street Target Price 34.8248 |
Using Lundin Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lundin Mining from the perspective of Lundin Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Lundin Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 33.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.93. Lundin Mining after-hype prediction price | CAD 35.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lundin |
Lundin Mining Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lundin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lundin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lundin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lundin Mining Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Lundin Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 33.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76, mean absolute percentage error of 0.92, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lundin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lundin Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lundin Mining Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lundin Mining | Lundin Mining Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Lundin Mining Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lundin Mining's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lundin Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.50 and 37.00, respectively. We have considered Lundin Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lundin Mining stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lundin Mining stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.8632 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7569 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0241 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 46.9288 |
Predictive Modules for Lundin Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lundin Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lundin Mining After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lundin Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lundin Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lundin Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lundin Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lundin Mining's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lundin Mining's historical news coverage. Lundin Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.08 and 38.58, respectively. We have considered Lundin Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lundin Mining is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lundin Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lundin Mining Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lundin Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lundin Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lundin Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.59 | 3.25 | 0.12 | 0.27 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
35.21 | 35.33 | 0.34 |
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Lundin Mining Hype Timeline
Lundin Mining is now traded for 35.21on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.27. Lundin is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 35.33 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.34%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.59%. The volatility of related hype on Lundin Mining is about 700.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.94. The company reported the revenue of 3.42 B. Net Income was 10.61 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.76 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lundin Mining to cross-verify your projections.Lundin Mining Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lundin Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lundin Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Lundin Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lundin Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IVN | Ivanhoe Mines | (0.16) | 9 per month | 3.21 | 0.09 | 6.26 | (5.28) | 16.66 | |
| AGI | Alamos Gold | 2.58 | 9 per month | 3.64 | 0.1 | 5.77 | (6.20) | 16.85 | |
| FM | First Quantum Minerals | 0.31 | 6 per month | 2.70 | 0.09 | 5.00 | (5.30) | 13.78 | |
| LUG | Lundin Gold | 0.1 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.33 | (5.00) | 21.00 | |
| PAAS | Pan American Silver | (3.54) | 9 per month | 3.51 | 0.14 | 7.02 | (6.40) | 24.05 | |
| CS | Capstone Mining Corp | (0.67) | 1 per month | 3.31 | 0.09 | 7.47 | (5.97) | 18.20 | |
| HBM | HudBay Minerals | 0.24 | 11 per month | 3.07 | 0.17 | 5.66 | (5.52) | 17.18 | |
| EDV | Endeavour Mining Corp | (2.92) | 6 per month | 3.15 | 0.15 | 4.93 | (5.28) | 14.81 | |
| ERO | Ero Copper Corp | (0.68) | 9 per month | 3.51 | 0.12 | 5.58 | (4.41) | 18.08 | |
| LA | Los Andes Copper | 0.1 | 5 per month | 2.34 | 0.20 | 9.65 | (3.20) | 31.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lundin Mining
For every potential investor in Lundin, whether a beginner or expert, Lundin Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lundin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lundin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lundin Mining's price trends.Lundin Mining Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lundin Mining stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lundin Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lundin Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lundin Mining Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lundin Mining stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lundin Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lundin Mining stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lundin Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 201674.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.45) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 35.39 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 35.33 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.58) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.80) |
Lundin Mining Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lundin Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lundin Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lundin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.21 | |||
| Variance | 10.33 | |||
| Downside Variance | 17.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lundin Mining
The number of cover stories for Lundin Mining depends on current market conditions and Lundin Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lundin Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lundin Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lundin Mining Short Properties
Lundin Mining's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lundin Mining's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lundin Mining often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lundin Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lundin Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 774.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 407.3 M |
Other Information on Investing in Lundin Stock
Lundin Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lundin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lundin with respect to the benefits of owning Lundin Mining security.