Marathon Petroleum Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

Marathon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Marathon Petroleum stock prices and determine the direction of Marathon Petroleum Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Marathon Petroleum's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of Marathon Petroleum's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Marathon Petroleum's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Marathon Petroleum Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Marathon Petroleum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marathon Petroleum Corp from the perspective of Marathon Petroleum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Marathon Petroleum after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 175.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.

Marathon Petroleum Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Marathon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marathon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marathon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Marathon Petroleum price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Marathon Petroleum Corp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Marathon Petroleum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marathon Petroleum Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Symbol  MPC
Name  Marathon Petroleum Corp
TypeStock
Country  
 United States
Exchange  NYSE

Hype Analysis is not found for Marathon Petroleum Corp at this time

We are unable to locate Marathon Petroleum Corp hype analysis at this time. If you believe the equity you are trying to look up is valid, please let us know, and we will check it out.

Hype Analysis

Prediction analysis is currently not available

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Other Forecasting Options for Marathon Petroleum

For every potential investor in Marathon, whether a beginner or expert, Marathon Petroleum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Marathon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Marathon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Marathon Petroleum's price trends.

Marathon Petroleum Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Marathon Petroleum stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Marathon Petroleum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marathon Petroleum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Marathon Petroleum Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Marathon Petroleum stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Marathon Petroleum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Marathon Petroleum stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Marathon Petroleum Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Marathon Petroleum Risk Indicators

The analysis of Marathon Petroleum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marathon Petroleum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marathon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Marathon Petroleum

The number of cover stories for Marathon Petroleum depends on current market conditions and Marathon Petroleum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Marathon Petroleum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Marathon Petroleum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Marathon Petroleum Short Properties

Marathon Petroleum's future price predictability will typically decrease when Marathon Petroleum's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Marathon Petroleum Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Marathon Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marathon Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding341 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.2 B
When determining whether Marathon Petroleum Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Marathon Petroleum's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Marathon Petroleum Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marathon Petroleum to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marathon Petroleum. If investors know Marathon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marathon Petroleum listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Marathon Petroleum Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marathon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marathon Petroleum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marathon Petroleum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marathon Petroleum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marathon Petroleum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marathon Petroleum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marathon Petroleum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marathon Petroleum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.