First Western Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

MYFW Stock  USD 26.58  0.09  0.34%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of First Western Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 26.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.27. First Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of First Western's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Western's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of First Western and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from First Western's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Western Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting First Western's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.455
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.425
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.4167
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.0567
Wall Street Target Price
26
Using First Western hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Western Financial from the perspective of First Western response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of First Western Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 26.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.27.

First Western after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.62  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Western to cross-verify your projections.
Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 10.31 in 2026, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 34.73 in 2026. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to climb to about 26.2 M in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 9.2 M in 2026.

First Western Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through First Western price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

First Western Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 15th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of First Western Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 26.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict First Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that First Western's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

First Western Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest First WesternFirst Western Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

First Western Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting First Western's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. First Western's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.32 and 28.40, respectively. We have considered First Western's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.58
26.86
Expected Value
28.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Western stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Western stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.3885
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3753
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0155
SAESum of the absolute errors23.2667
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as First Western Financial historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for First Western

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Western Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.0826.6228.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.9228.6830.22
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
23.6626.0028.86
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.330.420.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Western. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Western's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Western's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Western Financial.

Other Forecasting Options for First Western

For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Western's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Western's price trends.

First Western Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Western stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Western could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Western by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

First Western Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of First Western's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of First Western's current price.

First Western Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Western stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Western shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Western stock market strength indicators, traders can identify First Western Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

First Western Risk Indicators

The analysis of First Western's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Western's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for First Stock Analysis

When running First Western's price analysis, check to measure First Western's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Western is operating at the current time. Most of First Western's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Western's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Western's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Western to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.