NACCO Industries Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| NC Stock | USD 48.62 0.33 0.67% |
NACCO Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast NACCO Industries stock prices and determine the direction of NACCO Industries's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NACCO Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of NACCO Industries' share price is at 55. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling NACCO Industries, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Wall Street Target Price 128 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.243 |
Using NACCO Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NACCO Industries from the perspective of NACCO Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NACCO Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 48.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.49. NACCO Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 48.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NACCO Industries to cross-verify your projections. NACCO Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NACCO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NACCO using various technical indicators. When you analyze NACCO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NACCO Industries Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NACCO Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 48.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14, mean absolute percentage error of 2.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NACCO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NACCO Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NACCO Industries Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NACCO Industries | NACCO Industries Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
NACCO Industries Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NACCO Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NACCO Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 45.96 and 51.28, respectively. We have considered NACCO Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NACCO Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NACCO Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.096 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1652 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1415 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0239 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 68.49 |
Predictive Modules for NACCO Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NACCO Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NACCO Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NACCO Industries After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NACCO Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NACCO Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NACCO Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NACCO Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NACCO Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NACCO Industries' historical news coverage. NACCO Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 45.98 and 51.26, respectively. We have considered NACCO Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NACCO Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NACCO Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
NACCO Industries Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NACCO Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NACCO Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NACCO Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 2.66 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 15 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 15 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
48.62 | 48.62 | 0.00 |
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NACCO Industries Hype Timeline
As of January 27, 2026 NACCO Industries is listed for 48.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. NACCO is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on NACCO Industries is about 1023.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.55. About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.86. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. NACCO Industries last dividend was issued on the 2nd of September 2025. The entity had 4377:1000 split on the 2nd of October 2017. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 15 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NACCO Industries to cross-verify your projections.NACCO Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NACCO Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NACCO Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how NACCO Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NACCO Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AREC | American Resources Corp | (0.19) | 10 per month | 7.34 | 0 | 11.08 | (12.06) | 30.31 | |
| RNGR | Ranger Energy Services | 0.04 | 3 per month | 1.85 | 0.08 | 3.77 | (3.79) | 11.62 | |
| WTI | WT Offshore | 0.06 | 9 per month | 2.60 | (0.02) | 6.28 | (4.52) | 13.60 | |
| JKS | JinkoSolar Holding | 0.04 | 3 per month | 3.84 | 0.06 | 8.25 | (6.11) | 28.47 | |
| GFR | Greenfire Resources | (0.30) | 7 per month | 3.47 | 0.04 | 5.87 | (6.78) | 14.85 | |
| NGS | Natural Gas Services | (0.83) | 20 per month | 1.51 | 0.17 | 3.46 | (1.94) | 11.12 | |
| FET | Forum Energy Technologies | (1.00) | 12 per month | 3.47 | 0.17 | 6.96 | (3.01) | 23.84 | |
| GEOS | Geospace Technologies | (0.44) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.86 | (9.68) | 32.82 | |
| TOYO | TOYO Co Ltd | 0.18 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.81 | (4.99) | 15.80 | |
| SMC | Summit Midstream | (0.16) | 11 per month | 1.33 | 0.16 | 3.65 | (2.65) | 15.21 |
Other Forecasting Options for NACCO Industries
For every potential investor in NACCO, whether a beginner or expert, NACCO Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NACCO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NACCO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NACCO Industries' price trends.NACCO Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NACCO Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NACCO Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NACCO Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NACCO Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NACCO Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NACCO Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NACCO Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NACCO Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 191.24 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.28) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 49.21 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 49.01 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.76) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.33) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.03 |
NACCO Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of NACCO Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NACCO Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nacco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Variance | 6.77 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.0 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.39 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.29) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for NACCO Industries
The number of cover stories for NACCO Industries depends on current market conditions and NACCO Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NACCO Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NACCO Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NACCO Industries Short Properties
NACCO Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when NACCO Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NACCO Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NACCO Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NACCO Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 72.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NACCO Industries to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade NACCO Stock refer to our How to Trade NACCO Stock guide.You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NACCO Industries. If investors know NACCO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NACCO Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 0.96 | Earnings Share 3.91 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.243 |
The market value of NACCO Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NACCO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NACCO Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NACCO Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NACCO Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NACCO Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NACCO Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NACCO Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NACCO Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.