Nerdwallet Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

NRDS Stock  USD 13.75  0.22  1.57%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Nerdwallet on the next trading day is expected to be 13.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.10. Nerdwallet Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Nerdwallet's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to gain to 33.35 in 2024, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 5.10 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 76.1 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to drop to about (9.6 M) in 2024.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Nerdwallet is based on an artificially constructed time series of Nerdwallet daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Nerdwallet 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Nerdwallet on the next trading day is expected to be 13.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74, mean absolute percentage error of 1.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nerdwallet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nerdwallet's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nerdwallet Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nerdwallet Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nerdwallet's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nerdwallet's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.69 and 18.73, respectively. We have considered Nerdwallet's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.75
13.71
Expected Value
18.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nerdwallet stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nerdwallet stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.6447
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1086
MADMean absolute deviation0.7377
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0538
SAESum of the absolute errors39.0975
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Nerdwallet 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Nerdwallet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nerdwallet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nerdwallet's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.6613.6818.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.7813.8018.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.6213.8214.03
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.7116.1717.95
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nerdwallet

For every potential investor in Nerdwallet, whether a beginner or expert, Nerdwallet's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nerdwallet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nerdwallet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nerdwallet's price trends.

Nerdwallet Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nerdwallet stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nerdwallet could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nerdwallet by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nerdwallet Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nerdwallet's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nerdwallet's current price.

Nerdwallet Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nerdwallet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nerdwallet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nerdwallet stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nerdwallet entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nerdwallet Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nerdwallet's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nerdwallet's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nerdwallet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Nerdwallet Stock Analysis

When running Nerdwallet's price analysis, check to measure Nerdwallet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nerdwallet is operating at the current time. Most of Nerdwallet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nerdwallet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nerdwallet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nerdwallet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.