Nucor Corp Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| NUE Stock | USD 173.50 4.16 2.34% |
Nucor Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nucor Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Nucor Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nucor Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength momentum indicator of Nucor Corp's share price is at 56. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nucor Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.505 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.0159 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.7323 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.7166 | Wall Street Target Price 182.3846 |
Using Nucor Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nucor Corp from the perspective of Nucor Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nucor Corp using Nucor Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nucor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nucor Corp's stock price.
Nucor Corp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Nucor Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Nucor. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Nucor Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 139.693 | Short Percent 0.0293 | Short Ratio 3.32 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.8 M | 50 Day MA 162.2762 |
Nucor Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nucor Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 175.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 138.13.Nucor Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nucor Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nucor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nucor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nucor Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nucor Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nucor Corp.
Nucor Corp Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
Nucor Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nucor Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nucor Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nucor Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nucor Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nucor Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 175.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 138.13. Nucor Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 173.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nucor Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nucor contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nucor Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Nucor Corp trading at USD 173.5, that is roughly USD 0.0531 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nucor Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nucor Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Nucor Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Nucor Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Nucor Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Nucor Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Nucor Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Nucor Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Nucor Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Nucor. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Nucor Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nucor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nucor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nucor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nucor Corp Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nucor Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 175.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.34, mean absolute percentage error of 8.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 138.13.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nucor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nucor Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nucor Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nucor Corp | Nucor Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Nucor Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nucor Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nucor Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 173.92 and 177.24, respectively. We have considered Nucor Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nucor Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nucor Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.6076 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.6126 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.3413 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0145 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 138.135 |
Predictive Modules for Nucor Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nucor Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nucor Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nucor Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nucor Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nucor Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nucor Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nucor Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nucor Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nucor Corp's historical news coverage. Nucor Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 171.50 and 174.82, respectively. We have considered Nucor Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nucor Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nucor Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nucor Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nucor Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nucor Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nucor Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.66 | 0.44 | 0.22 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
173.50 | 173.16 | 0.25 |
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Nucor Corp Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January Nucor Corp is traded for 173.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.44, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.22. Nucor is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 173.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 93.79%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Nucor Corp is about 184.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 173.72. The company reported the last year's revenue of 30.73 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.32 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.66 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nucor Corp to cross-verify your projections.Nucor Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nucor Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nucor Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Nucor Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nucor Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STLD | Steel Dynamics | 0.16 | 10 per month | 1.58 | 0.07 | 3.50 | (2.84) | 6.74 | |
| MT | ArcelorMittal SA ADR | 0.83 | 11 per month | 0.82 | 0.27 | 3.96 | (1.87) | 5.69 | |
| AU | AngloGold Ashanti plc | 2.27 | 9 per month | 2.51 | 0.22 | 6.75 | (5.13) | 14.20 | |
| GFI | Gold Fields Ltd | (0.09) | 4 per month | 2.66 | 0.15 | 6.28 | (6.11) | 14.92 | |
| RS | Reliance Steel Aluminum | 3.80 | 7 per month | 0.75 | 0.14 | 2.67 | (1.55) | 5.44 | |
| MLM | Martin Marietta Materials | (1.57) | 11 per month | 1.51 | (0.02) | 1.89 | (2.34) | 8.83 | |
| FNV | Franco Nevada | 4.58 | 10 per month | 1.23 | 0.22 | 3.37 | (1.89) | 8.99 | |
| PKX | POSCO Holdings | (0.46) | 13 per month | 1.78 | 0.09 | 5.01 | (3.37) | 18.39 | |
| AMRZ | Amrize | (0.62) | 8 per month | 1.52 | 0.05 | 3.46 | (2.58) | 8.15 | |
| VMC | Vulcan Materials | 0.08 | 10 per month | 1.71 | (0.04) | 2.10 | (2.58) | 8.21 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nucor Corp
For every potential investor in Nucor, whether a beginner or expert, Nucor Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nucor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nucor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nucor Corp's price trends.Nucor Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nucor Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nucor Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nucor Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nucor Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nucor Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nucor Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nucor Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nucor Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0045 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (5.33) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 173.11 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 173.24 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.78 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.69) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (4.16) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 56.93 |
Nucor Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nucor Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nucor Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nucor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Variance | 3.28 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.46 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.55) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nucor Corp
The number of cover stories for Nucor Corp depends on current market conditions and Nucor Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nucor Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nucor Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nucor Corp Short Properties
Nucor Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nucor Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nucor Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nucor Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nucor Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 238.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nucor Corp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Nucor Stock refer to our How to Trade Nucor Stock guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nucor Corp. If investors know Nucor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nucor Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.505 | Dividend Share 2.2 | Earnings Share 7.12 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.145 |
The market value of Nucor Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nucor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nucor Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nucor Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nucor Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nucor Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nucor Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nucor Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nucor Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.