Onewater Marine Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| ONEW Stock | USD 13.51 0.23 1.73% |
Onewater Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of Onewater Marine's share price is at 51. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Onewater Marine, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.34) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1717 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.568 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.062 | Wall Street Target Price 16 |
Using Onewater Marine hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Onewater Marine from the perspective of Onewater Marine response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Onewater Marine using Onewater Marine's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Onewater using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Onewater Marine's stock price.
Onewater Marine Short Interest
An investor who is long Onewater Marine may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Onewater Marine and may potentially protect profits, hedge Onewater Marine with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 14.3309 | Short Percent 0.1291 | Short Ratio 6.85 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.5 M | 50 Day MA 11.9761 |
Onewater Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Onewater Marine on the next trading day is expected to be 12.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.79.Onewater Marine Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Onewater Marine's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Onewater. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Onewater can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Onewater Marine. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Onewater Marine's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Onewater Marine.
Onewater Marine Implied Volatility | 1.33 |
Onewater Marine's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Onewater Marine stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Onewater Marine's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Onewater Marine stock will not fluctuate a lot when Onewater Marine's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Onewater Marine on the next trading day is expected to be 12.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.79. Onewater Marine after-hype prediction price | USD 13.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Onewater Marine to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Onewater contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Onewater Marine will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0831% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Onewater Marine trading at USD 13.51, that is roughly USD 0.0112 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Onewater Marine's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Onewater Marine options at the current volatility level of 1.33%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Onewater Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Onewater Marine's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Onewater Marine's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Onewater Marine stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Onewater Marine's open interest, investors have to compare it to Onewater Marine's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Onewater Marine is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Onewater. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Onewater Marine Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Onewater price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Onewater using various technical indicators. When you analyze Onewater charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Onewater Marine Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Onewater Marine on the next trading day is expected to be 12.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29, mean absolute percentage error of 2.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Onewater Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Onewater Marine's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Onewater Marine Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Onewater Marine | Onewater Marine Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Onewater Marine Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Onewater Marine's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Onewater Marine's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.69 and 16.24, respectively. We have considered Onewater Marine's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Onewater Marine stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Onewater Marine stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.9054 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2916 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1046 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 78.7876 |
Predictive Modules for Onewater Marine
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Onewater Marine. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Onewater Marine's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Onewater Marine After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Onewater Marine at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Onewater Marine or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Onewater Marine, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Onewater Marine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Onewater Marine's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Onewater Marine's historical news coverage. Onewater Marine's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.79 and 17.35, respectively. We have considered Onewater Marine's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Onewater Marine is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Onewater Marine is based on 3 months time horizon.
Onewater Marine Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Onewater Marine is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Onewater Marine backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Onewater Marine, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 3.78 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
13.51 | 13.57 | 0.44 |
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Onewater Marine Hype Timeline
Onewater Marine is now traded for 13.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Onewater is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.57 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Onewater Marine is about 1181.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.56. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.87 B. Net Loss for the year was (116.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 433.96 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Onewater Marine to cross-verify your projections.Onewater Marine Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Onewater Marine's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Onewater Marine's future price movements. Getting to know how Onewater Marine's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Onewater Marine may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MPX | Marine Products | 0.11 | 9 per month | 2.37 | 0.05 | 3.53 | (3.49) | 10.53 | |
| MCFT | MCBC Holdings | 0.45 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.21 | (4.27) | 12.82 | |
| CHPT | ChargePoint Holdings | (0.24) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 5.83 | (6.84) | 31.33 | |
| LANV | Lanvin Group Holdings | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 8.54 | (8.10) | 21.80 | |
| GAMB | Gambling Group | (0.15) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.58 | (4.36) | 26.59 | |
| EMPD | Empery Digital | 0.1 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.81 | (9.18) | 20.15 | |
| WEYS | Weyco Group | 1.19 | 6 per month | 3.02 | 0.04 | 4.68 | (2.83) | 27.19 | |
| ELA | Envela Corp | (0.34) | 9 per month | 3.93 | 0.15 | 10.52 | (8.09) | 25.60 | |
| CTRN | Citi Trends | 2.00 | 11 per month | 2.54 | 0.1 | 4.90 | (4.27) | 15.07 | |
| XPOF | Xponential Fitness | 0.11 | 8 per month | 2.53 | 0.12 | 7.42 | (4.45) | 25.15 |
Other Forecasting Options for Onewater Marine
For every potential investor in Onewater, whether a beginner or expert, Onewater Marine's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Onewater Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Onewater. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Onewater Marine's price trends.Onewater Marine Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Onewater Marine stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Onewater Marine could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Onewater Marine by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Onewater Marine Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Onewater Marine stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Onewater Marine shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Onewater Marine stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Onewater Marine entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Onewater Marine Risk Indicators
The analysis of Onewater Marine's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Onewater Marine's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting onewater stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.64 | |||
| Variance | 13.28 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Onewater Marine
The number of cover stories for Onewater Marine depends on current market conditions and Onewater Marine's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Onewater Marine is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Onewater Marine's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Onewater Marine Short Properties
Onewater Marine's future price predictability will typically decrease when Onewater Marine's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Onewater Marine often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Onewater Marine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Onewater Marine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 52.2 M |
Additional Tools for Onewater Stock Analysis
When running Onewater Marine's price analysis, check to measure Onewater Marine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Onewater Marine is operating at the current time. Most of Onewater Marine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Onewater Marine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Onewater Marine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Onewater Marine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.