OppFi Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

OPFI Stock  USD 7.85  0.24  3.15%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of OppFi Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 7.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.72. OppFi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of OppFi's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, OppFi's Receivables Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The OppFi's current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 27.59, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 26.92. . The OppFi's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 37.7 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to under 15.6 M.

OppFi Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the OppFi's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
31.8 M
Current Value
25.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
4.9 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for OppFi is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of OppFi Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

OppFi Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of OppFi Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 7.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OppFi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OppFi's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

OppFi Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest OppFiOppFi Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

OppFi Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting OppFi's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OppFi's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.34 and 12.37, respectively. We have considered OppFi's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.85
7.86
Expected Value
12.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OppFi stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OppFi stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.5265
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1921
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0356
SAESum of the absolute errors11.7151
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of OppFi Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict OppFi. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for OppFi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OppFi Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.107.6512.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.926.4711.02
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.493.834.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as OppFi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against OppFi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, OppFi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in OppFi Inc.

Other Forecasting Options for OppFi

For every potential investor in OppFi, whether a beginner or expert, OppFi's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OppFi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OppFi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OppFi's price trends.

OppFi Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OppFi stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OppFi could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OppFi by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

OppFi Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of OppFi's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of OppFi's current price.

OppFi Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OppFi stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OppFi shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OppFi stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OppFi Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

OppFi Risk Indicators

The analysis of OppFi's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OppFi's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oppfi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether OppFi Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of OppFi's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Oppfi Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Oppfi Inc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OppFi to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OppFi. If investors know OppFi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about OppFi listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.631
Earnings Share
0.353
Revenue Per Share
13.499
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.256
Return On Assets
0.1177
The market value of OppFi Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OppFi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OppFi's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OppFi's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because OppFi's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OppFi's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between OppFi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if OppFi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OppFi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.