Prosperity Bancshares Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| PB Stock | USD 74.45 0.16 0.21% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Prosperity Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 73.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.44. Prosperity Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Prosperity Bancshares stock prices and determine the direction of Prosperity Bancshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Prosperity Bancshares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Prosperity Bancshares' stock price is about 64 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Prosperity, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.083 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.4799 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.6641 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.2334 | Wall Street Target Price 79.7857 |
Using Prosperity Bancshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Prosperity Bancshares from the perspective of Prosperity Bancshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Prosperity Bancshares using Prosperity Bancshares' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Prosperity using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Prosperity Bancshares' stock price.
Prosperity Bancshares Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Prosperity Bancshares' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Prosperity. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Prosperity Bancshares stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 68.5528 | Short Percent 0.0335 | Short Ratio 3.02 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.1 M | 50 Day MA 70.0394 |
Prosperity Bancshares Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Prosperity Bancshares' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Prosperity. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Prosperity can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Prosperity Bancshares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Prosperity Bancshares Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
Prosperity Bancshares' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Prosperity Bancshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Prosperity Bancshares' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Prosperity Bancshares stock will not fluctuate a lot when Prosperity Bancshares' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Prosperity Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 73.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.44. Prosperity Bancshares after-hype prediction price | USD 74.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prosperity | Build AI portfolio with Prosperity Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Prosperity contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Prosperity Bancshares will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Prosperity Bancshares trading at USD 74.45, that is roughly USD 0.0228 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Prosperity Bancshares' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Prosperity Bancshares options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Prosperity Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Prosperity Bancshares' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Prosperity Bancshares' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Prosperity Bancshares stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Prosperity Bancshares' open interest, investors have to compare it to Prosperity Bancshares' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Prosperity Bancshares is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Prosperity. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Prosperity Bancshares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Prosperity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Prosperity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Prosperity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Prosperity Bancshares Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Prosperity Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 73.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04, mean absolute percentage error of 1.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Prosperity Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Prosperity Bancshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Prosperity Bancshares Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Prosperity Bancshares | Prosperity Bancshares Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Prosperity Bancshares Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Prosperity Bancshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Prosperity Bancshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 72.71 and 75.27, respectively. We have considered Prosperity Bancshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Prosperity Bancshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Prosperity Bancshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.4785 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0394 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.015 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 64.4431 |
Predictive Modules for Prosperity Bancshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prosperity Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Prosperity Bancshares After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Prosperity Bancshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Prosperity Bancshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Prosperity Bancshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Prosperity Bancshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Prosperity Bancshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Prosperity Bancshares' historical news coverage. Prosperity Bancshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 73.17 and 75.73, respectively. We have considered Prosperity Bancshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Prosperity Bancshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Prosperity Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Prosperity Bancshares Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Prosperity Bancshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Prosperity Bancshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Prosperity Bancshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 1.28 | 0.26 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
74.45 | 74.45 | 0.00 |
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Prosperity Bancshares Hype Timeline
As of January 23, 2026 Prosperity Bancshares is listed for 74.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Prosperity is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 137.63%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on Prosperity Bancshares is about 593.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 74.51. About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.95. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Prosperity Bancshares recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.6. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of March 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 3rd of June 2002. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Prosperity Bancshares to cross-verify your projections.Prosperity Bancshares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Prosperity Bancshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Prosperity Bancshares' future price movements. Getting to know how Prosperity Bancshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Prosperity Bancshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BOKF | BOK Financial | 0.92 | 10 per month | 0.86 | 0.18 | 3.17 | (1.41) | 6.77 | |
| PNFP | Pinnacle Financial Partners | 0.13 | 3 per month | 1.53 | 0.05 | 2.99 | (2.01) | 6.97 | |
| VLY | Valley National Bancorp | 0.09 | 8 per month | 0.97 | 0.17 | 4.02 | (2.08) | 7.87 | |
| SNV | Synovus Financial Corp | 0.31 | 4 per month | 1.99 | (0.03) | 2.93 | (2.49) | 9.63 | |
| COLB | Columbia Banking System | (0.45) | 8 per month | 1.04 | 0.14 | 3.59 | (1.81) | 8.86 | |
| CBSH | Commerce Bancshares | (0.12) | 8 per month | 1.06 | 0.01 | 2.40 | (1.77) | 6.30 | |
| CADE | Cadence Bancorp | 1.26 | 11 per month | 1.50 | 0.11 | 3.62 | (2.24) | 7.42 | |
| FNB | FNB Corp | 0.13 | 10 per month | 0.72 | 0.15 | 2.90 | (1.46) | 5.78 | |
| HOMB | Home BancShares | (0.33) | 4 per month | 0.93 | 0.03 | 2.16 | (1.52) | 5.65 |
Other Forecasting Options for Prosperity Bancshares
For every potential investor in Prosperity, whether a beginner or expert, Prosperity Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Prosperity Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Prosperity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Prosperity Bancshares' price trends.Prosperity Bancshares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Prosperity Bancshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Prosperity Bancshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Prosperity Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Prosperity Bancshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Prosperity Bancshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Prosperity Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Prosperity Bancshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Prosperity Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 22485.36 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.08) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 75.02 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 74.83 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.64) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.16) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 64.83 |
Prosperity Bancshares Risk Indicators
The analysis of Prosperity Bancshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Prosperity Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting prosperity stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.974 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6561 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Variance | 1.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8173 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4305 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Prosperity Bancshares
The number of cover stories for Prosperity Bancshares depends on current market conditions and Prosperity Bancshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Prosperity Bancshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Prosperity Bancshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Prosperity Bancshares Short Properties
Prosperity Bancshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when Prosperity Bancshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Prosperity Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Prosperity Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prosperity Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 95 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.9 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Prosperity Bancshares to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Prosperity Stock refer to our How to Trade Prosperity Stock guide.You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Prosperity Bancshares. If investors know Prosperity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Prosperity Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.083 | Dividend Share 2.32 | Earnings Share 5.6 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.039 |
The market value of Prosperity Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Prosperity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Prosperity Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Prosperity Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Prosperity Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Prosperity Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Prosperity Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Prosperity Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Prosperity Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.