PB Bankshares Stock Forward View
| PBBK Stock | USD 19.81 0.00 0.00% |
PBBK Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although PB Bankshares' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of PB Bankshares' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of PB Bankshares fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of PB Bankshares' share price is approaching 41 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling PB Bankshares, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.239 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.182 |
Using PB Bankshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PB Bankshares from the perspective of PB Bankshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PB Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 19.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.46. PB Bankshares after-hype prediction price | USD 19.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. PB Bankshares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PBBK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PBBK using various technical indicators. When you analyze PBBK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PB Bankshares Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the PB Bankshares' financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-12-31 | Previous Quarter 43 M | Current Value 49.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 13 M |
PB Bankshares Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of PB Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 19.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.46.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PBBK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PB Bankshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PB Bankshares Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PB Bankshares | PB Bankshares Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PB Bankshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PB Bankshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.961 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2699 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0131 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.4635 |
Predictive Modules for PB Bankshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PB Bankshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PB Bankshares After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PB Bankshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PB Bankshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PB Bankshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PB Bankshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PB Bankshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PB Bankshares' historical news coverage. PB Bankshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.16 and 21.46, respectively. We have considered PB Bankshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PB Bankshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PB Bankshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
PB Bankshares Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PB Bankshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PB Bankshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PB Bankshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 15 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.81 | 19.81 | 0.00 |
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PB Bankshares Hype Timeline
PB Bankshares is at this time traded for 19.81. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PBBK is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on PB Bankshares is about 1571.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.81. About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.92. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PB Bankshares had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 15 days. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.PB Bankshares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PB Bankshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PB Bankshares' future price movements. Getting to know how PB Bankshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PB Bankshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TCBS | Texas Community Bancshares | (0.15) | 12 per month | 1.19 | 0.07 | 3.90 | (2.22) | 12.58 | |
| STLE | Stylesite Marketing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TECTP | Tectonic Financial PR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.91 | (3.14) | 9.74 | |
| OPHC | OptimumBank Holdings | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.68 | 0.16 | 2.19 | (1.71) | 8.83 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | (0.74) | 8 per month | 3.28 | 0.11 | 6.92 | (3.85) | 21.76 | |
| ASRV | AmeriServ Financial | 0.38 | 4 per month | 1.86 | 0.02 | 2.89 | (3.13) | 8.63 | |
| BAFN | Bayfirst Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.90 | (4.12) | 13.03 | |
| CLST | Catalyst Bancorp | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.65 | 0.17 | 1.90 | (1.08) | 7.82 | |
| FSEA | First Seacoast Bancorp | (0.57) | 7 per month | 2.03 | 0.06 | 4.23 | (3.38) | 25.19 | |
| NXN | Nuveen New York | (0.04) | 5 per month | 0.24 | (0.10) | 0.58 | (0.49) | 1.41 |
PB Bankshares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PB Bankshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PB Bankshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PB Bankshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PB Bankshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PB Bankshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PB Bankshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PB Bankshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PB Bankshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PB Bankshares Risk Indicators
The analysis of PB Bankshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PB Bankshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pbbk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Variance | 2.45 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.29) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PB Bankshares
The number of cover stories for PB Bankshares depends on current market conditions and PB Bankshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PB Bankshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PB Bankshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PB Bankshares Short Properties
PB Bankshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when PB Bankshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PB Bankshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PB Bankshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PB Bankshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 85.7 M |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PB Bankshares. Anticipated expansion of PBBK directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive PB Bankshares assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.239 | Earnings Share 0.98 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.182 | Return On Assets |
PB Bankshares's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on PBBK's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate PB Bankshares' intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since PB Bankshares' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between PB Bankshares' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding PB Bankshares should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, PB Bankshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.