PB Bankshares Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| PBBK Stock | USD 19.81 1.34 6.34% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PB Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 18.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.92. PBBK Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although PB Bankshares' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of PB Bankshares' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of PB Bankshares fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of PB Bankshares' share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.239 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.182 |
Using PB Bankshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PB Bankshares from the perspective of PB Bankshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
PB Bankshares Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PB Bankshares' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PBBK. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PBBK can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PB Bankshares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PB Bankshares' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PB Bankshares.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PB Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 18.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.92. PB Bankshares after-hype prediction price | USD 19.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PB Bankshares to cross-verify your projections. PB Bankshares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PBBK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PBBK using various technical indicators. When you analyze PBBK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PB Bankshares Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the PB Bankshares' financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-12-31 | Previous Quarter 43 M | Current Value 49.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 13 M |
PB Bankshares Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of PB Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 18.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.92.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PBBK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PB Bankshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PB Bankshares Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PB Bankshares | PB Bankshares Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
PB Bankshares Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PB Bankshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PB Bankshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.15 and 20.40, respectively. We have considered PB Bankshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PB Bankshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PB Bankshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.8032 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.261 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0126 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.9223 |
Predictive Modules for PB Bankshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PB Bankshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for PB Bankshares
For every potential investor in PBBK, whether a beginner or expert, PB Bankshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PBBK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PBBK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PB Bankshares' price trends.PB Bankshares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PB Bankshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PB Bankshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PB Bankshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PB Bankshares Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PB Bankshares' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PB Bankshares' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PB Bankshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PB Bankshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PB Bankshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PB Bankshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PB Bankshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 19.81 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 19.81 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.67) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.34) |
PB Bankshares Risk Indicators
The analysis of PB Bankshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PB Bankshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pbbk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Variance | 2.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.28 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PB Bankshares to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy PBBK Stock please use our How to buy in PBBK Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PB Bankshares. If investors know PBBK will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PB Bankshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.239 | Earnings Share 0.98 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.182 | Return On Assets |
The market value of PB Bankshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PBBK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PB Bankshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PB Bankshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PB Bankshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PB Bankshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PB Bankshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PB Bankshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PB Bankshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.