Perion Network Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PERI Stock | USD 9.20 0.04 0.44% |
Perion Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Perion Network's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, the relative strength momentum indicator of Perion Network's share price is approaching 44 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Perion Network, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.85) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.488 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.116 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.226 | Wall Street Target Price 14.5 |
Using Perion Network hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Perion Network from the perspective of Perion Network response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Perion Network using Perion Network's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Perion using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Perion Network's stock price.
Perion Network Implied Volatility | 0.87 |
Perion Network's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Perion Network stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Perion Network's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Perion Network stock will not fluctuate a lot when Perion Network's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Perion Network on the next trading day is expected to be 9.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.27. Perion Network after-hype prediction price | USD 9.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perion Network to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Perion contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Perion Network will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0544% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Perion Network trading at USD 9.2, that is roughly USD 0.005003 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Perion Network's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Perion Network options at the current volatility level of 0.87%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Perion Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Perion Network's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Perion Network's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Perion Network stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Perion Network's open interest, investors have to compare it to Perion Network's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Perion Network is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Perion. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Perion Network Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Perion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Perion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Perion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Perion Network Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Perion Network on the next trading day is expected to be 9.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Perion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Perion Network's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Perion Network Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Perion Network | Perion Network Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Perion Network Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Perion Network's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Perion Network's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.10 and 11.30, respectively. We have considered Perion Network's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Perion Network stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Perion Network stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.0672 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0025 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1378 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0142 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.27 |
Predictive Modules for Perion Network
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perion Network. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Perion Network After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Perion Network at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Perion Network or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Perion Network, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Perion Network Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Perion Network's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Perion Network's historical news coverage. Perion Network's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.06 and 11.28, respectively. We have considered Perion Network's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Perion Network is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Perion Network is based on 3 months time horizon.
Perion Network Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Perion Network is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Perion Network backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Perion Network, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.10 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.20 | 9.17 | 0.11 |
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Perion Network Hype Timeline
Perion Network is at this time traded for 9.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Perion is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 9.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Perion Network is about 4772.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.20. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 498.29 M. Net Income was 12.61 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 141.47 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perion Network to cross-verify your projections.Perion Network Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Perion Network's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Perion Network's future price movements. Getting to know how Perion Network's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Perion Network may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TTGT | TechTarget Common Stock | 0.22 | 12 per month | 3.14 | (0.01) | 5.93 | (5.21) | 15.02 | |
| ZH | Zhihu Inc ADR | (0.09) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.10 | (4.82) | 21.72 | |
| NCMI | National CineMedia | (0.11) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.00 | (3.74) | 15.70 | |
| JFIN | Jiayin Group | (0.11) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.01 | (5.74) | 16.66 | |
| ADV | Advantage Solutions | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.67 | (6.82) | 22.81 | |
| GTN | Gray Television | 0.00 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.91 | (4.53) | 13.88 | |
| THRY | Thryv Holdings | (0.28) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 4.32 | (6.70) | 34.17 | |
| WOW | WideOpenWest | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.92 | (0.49) | 462.61 | |
| IHRT | iHeartMedia Class A | 0.00 | 6 per month | 3.11 | 0.07 | 12.38 | (5.73) | 44.17 | |
| AREN | Arena Group Holdings | (0.10) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.00 | (6.65) | 27.15 |
Other Forecasting Options for Perion Network
For every potential investor in Perion, whether a beginner or expert, Perion Network's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Perion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Perion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Perion Network's price trends.Perion Network Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Perion Network stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Perion Network could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Perion Network by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Perion Network Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Perion Network stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Perion Network shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Perion Network stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Perion Network entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Perion Network Risk Indicators
The analysis of Perion Network's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Perion Network's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting perion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Variance | 4.32 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Perion Network
The number of cover stories for Perion Network depends on current market conditions and Perion Network's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Perion Network is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Perion Network's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Perion Network Short Properties
Perion Network's future price predictability will typically decrease when Perion Network's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Perion Network often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Perion Network's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perion Network's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 373.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perion Network to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Perion Stock please use our How to Invest in Perion Network guide.You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Advertising space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Perion Network. If investors know Perion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Perion Network listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.85) | Earnings Share (0.27) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.081 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Perion Network is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Perion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Perion Network's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Perion Network's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Perion Network's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Perion Network's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Perion Network's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Perion Network is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Perion Network's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.