Pacific Premier Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

PPBI Stock  USD 29.11  0.38  1.32%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Pacific Premier Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 28.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.90. Pacific Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pacific Premier's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The Pacific Premier's current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 4.93, while Receivables Turnover is projected to decrease to 7.58. . The Pacific Premier's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 98.9 M. The Pacific Premier's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 342.6 M.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Pacific Premier Bancorp is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Pacific Premier 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Pacific Premier Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 28.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68, mean absolute percentage error of 0.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.90.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pacific Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pacific Premier's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pacific Premier Stock Forecast Pattern

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Pacific Premier Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pacific Premier's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pacific Premier's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.59 and 31.09, respectively. We have considered Pacific Premier's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29.11
28.34
Expected Value
31.09
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pacific Premier stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pacific Premier stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.5829
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1768
MADMean absolute deviation0.6825
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0264
SAESum of the absolute errors38.9
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Pacific Premier. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Pacific Premier Bancorp and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Pacific Premier

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Premier Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.1928.9431.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.4027.1529.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
27.2028.0528.90
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.4426.8629.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pacific Premier. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pacific Premier's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pacific Premier's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pacific Premier Bancorp.

Other Forecasting Options for Pacific Premier

For every potential investor in Pacific, whether a beginner or expert, Pacific Premier's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pacific Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pacific. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pacific Premier's price trends.

Pacific Premier Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pacific Premier stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pacific Premier could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pacific Premier by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pacific Premier Bancorp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pacific Premier's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pacific Premier's current price.

Pacific Premier Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pacific Premier stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pacific Premier shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pacific Premier stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pacific Premier Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pacific Premier Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pacific Premier's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pacific Premier's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pacific stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Pacific Premier Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Pacific Premier's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Pacific Premier Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Pacific Premier Bancorp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pacific Premier to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pacific Premier. If investors know Pacific will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pacific Premier listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.23)
Dividend Share
1.32
Earnings Share
(0.13)
Revenue Per Share
4.02
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
The market value of Pacific Premier Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pacific that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pacific Premier's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pacific Premier's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pacific Premier's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pacific Premier's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pacific Premier's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pacific Premier is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pacific Premier's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.