Pacific Premier Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| PPBI Stock | USD 29.11 0.38 1.32% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pacific Premier Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 28.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.06. Pacific Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pacific Premier's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Pacific |
Pacific Premier Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Pacific Premier's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1997-06-30 | Previous Quarter 900.8 M | Current Value 983.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 381.8 M |
Pacific Premier Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pacific Premier Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 28.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67, mean absolute percentage error of 0.69, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pacific Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pacific Premier's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pacific Premier Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pacific Premier | Pacific Premier Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Pacific Premier Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pacific Premier's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pacific Premier's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.59 and 31.09, respectively. We have considered Pacific Premier's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pacific Premier stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pacific Premier stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7399 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6731 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0262 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 41.0563 |
Predictive Modules for Pacific Premier
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Premier Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Pacific Premier
For every potential investor in Pacific, whether a beginner or expert, Pacific Premier's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pacific Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pacific. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pacific Premier's price trends.Pacific Premier Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pacific Premier stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pacific Premier could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pacific Premier by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pacific Premier Bancorp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pacific Premier's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pacific Premier's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Pacific Premier Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pacific Premier stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pacific Premier shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pacific Premier stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pacific Premier Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Pacific Premier Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pacific Premier's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pacific Premier's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pacific stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.79 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.84 | |||
| Variance | 8.09 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Pacific Premier Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Pacific Premier's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Pacific Premier Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Pacific Premier Bancorp Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pacific Premier to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pacific Premier. If investors know Pacific will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pacific Premier listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Dividend Share 1.32 | Earnings Share (0.13) | Revenue Per Share 4.02 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of Pacific Premier Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pacific that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pacific Premier's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pacific Premier's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pacific Premier's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pacific Premier's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pacific Premier's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pacific Premier is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pacific Premier's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.