Reynolds Consumer Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| REYN Stock | USD 23.22 0.28 1.19% |
Reynolds Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Reynolds Consumer's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Reynolds Consumer's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Reynolds Consumer fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Reynolds Consumer's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5545 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6363 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.745 | Wall Street Target Price 26.8571 |
Using Reynolds Consumer hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Reynolds Consumer Products from the perspective of Reynolds Consumer response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Reynolds Consumer using Reynolds Consumer's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Reynolds using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Reynolds Consumer's stock price.
Reynolds Consumer Short Interest
An investor who is long Reynolds Consumer may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Reynolds Consumer and may potentially protect profits, hedge Reynolds Consumer with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 23.1686 | Short Percent 0.1123 | Short Ratio 8.18 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.5 M | 50 Day MA 23.9551 |
Reynolds Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Reynolds Consumer Products on the next trading day is expected to be 23.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.63.Reynolds Consumer Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Reynolds Consumer's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Reynolds. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Reynolds can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Reynolds Consumer Products. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Reynolds Consumer's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Reynolds Consumer.
Reynolds Consumer Implied Volatility | 1.03 |
Reynolds Consumer's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Reynolds Consumer Products stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Reynolds Consumer's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Reynolds Consumer stock will not fluctuate a lot when Reynolds Consumer's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Reynolds Consumer Products on the next trading day is expected to be 23.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.63. Reynolds Consumer after-hype prediction price | USD 23.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Reynolds Consumer to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Reynolds contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Reynolds Consumer Products will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0644% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Reynolds Consumer trading at USD 23.22, that is roughly USD 0.0149 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Reynolds Consumer's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Reynolds Consumer Products options at the current volatility level of 1.03%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Reynolds Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Reynolds Consumer's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Reynolds Consumer's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Reynolds Consumer stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Reynolds Consumer's open interest, investors have to compare it to Reynolds Consumer's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Reynolds Consumer is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Reynolds. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Reynolds Consumer Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Reynolds price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Reynolds using various technical indicators. When you analyze Reynolds charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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Reynolds Consumer Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Reynolds Consumer's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2018-12-31 | Previous Quarter 57 M | Current Value 53 M | Quarterly Volatility 99.2 M |
Reynolds Consumer Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Reynolds Consumer Products on the next trading day is expected to be 23.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Reynolds Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Reynolds Consumer's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Reynolds Consumer Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Reynolds Consumer | Reynolds Consumer Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Reynolds Consumer Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Reynolds Consumer's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Reynolds Consumer's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.95 and 24.27, respectively. We have considered Reynolds Consumer's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Reynolds Consumer stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Reynolds Consumer stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.8636 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3004 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0125 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.6273 |
Predictive Modules for Reynolds Consumer
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reynolds Consumer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Reynolds Consumer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Reynolds Consumer After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Reynolds Consumer at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Reynolds Consumer or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Reynolds Consumer, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Reynolds Consumer Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Reynolds Consumer's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Reynolds Consumer's historical news coverage. Reynolds Consumer's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.03 and 24.41, respectively. We have considered Reynolds Consumer's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Reynolds Consumer is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Reynolds Consumer is based on 3 months time horizon.
Reynolds Consumer Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Reynolds Consumer is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Reynolds Consumer backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Reynolds Consumer, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.16 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.22 | 23.22 | 0.00 |
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Reynolds Consumer Hype Timeline
Reynolds Consumer is at this time traded for 23.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.18. Reynolds is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 95.08%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Reynolds Consumer is about 91.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.40. About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Reynolds Consumer was at this time reported as 10.37. The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Reynolds Consumer to cross-verify your projections.Reynolds Consumer Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Reynolds Consumer's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Reynolds Consumer's future price movements. Getting to know how Reynolds Consumer's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Reynolds Consumer may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SEE | Sealed Air | 1.22 | 11 per month | 0.50 | 0.11 | 2.13 | (1.31) | 19.98 | |
| GPK | Graphic Packaging Holding | 1.40 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.59 | (3.21) | 17.54 | |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings | 1.40 | 28 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.44 | (2.84) | 13.91 | |
| SON | Sonoco Products | 1.40 | 21 per month | 1.01 | 0.15 | 3.18 | (2.07) | 6.16 | |
| GNTX | Gentex | 1.40 | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.63 | (2.24) | 10.62 | |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | 1.22 | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.58 | (2.66) | 6.35 | |
| MTN | Vail Resorts | 1.40 | 33 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.44 | (3.39) | 13.29 | |
| FTDR | Frontdoor | 1.40 | 27 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.10 | (2.86) | 18.24 | |
| BBWI | Bath Body Works | 1.34 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.78 | (4.50) | 28.56 | |
| M | Macys Inc | 0.52 | 11 per month | 2.02 | 0.04 | 5.52 | (3.68) | 14.51 |
Other Forecasting Options for Reynolds Consumer
For every potential investor in Reynolds, whether a beginner or expert, Reynolds Consumer's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Reynolds Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Reynolds. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Reynolds Consumer's price trends.Reynolds Consumer Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Reynolds Consumer stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Reynolds Consumer could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Reynolds Consumer by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Reynolds Consumer Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Reynolds Consumer stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Reynolds Consumer shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Reynolds Consumer stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Reynolds Consumer Products entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 24463.52 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 23.42 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 23.35 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.34) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.28) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 42.97 |
Reynolds Consumer Risk Indicators
The analysis of Reynolds Consumer's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Reynolds Consumer's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting reynolds stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9327 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Variance | 1.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.87 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.95) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Reynolds Consumer
The number of cover stories for Reynolds Consumer depends on current market conditions and Reynolds Consumer's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Reynolds Consumer is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Reynolds Consumer's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Reynolds Consumer Short Properties
Reynolds Consumer's future price predictability will typically decrease when Reynolds Consumer's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Reynolds Consumer Products often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Reynolds Consumer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Reynolds Consumer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 210.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 137 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Reynolds Consumer to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Household Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Reynolds Consumer. If investors know Reynolds will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Reynolds Consumer listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | Dividend Share 0.92 | Earnings Share 1.44 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.023 |
The market value of Reynolds Consumer is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Reynolds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Reynolds Consumer's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Reynolds Consumer's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Reynolds Consumer's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Reynolds Consumer's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Reynolds Consumer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Reynolds Consumer is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Reynolds Consumer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.