Reynolds Consumer Products Stock Price Prediction
| REYN Stock | USD 22.66 0.10 0.44% |
Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5545 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6363 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.745 | Wall Street Target Price 26.8571 |
Using Reynolds Consumer hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Reynolds Consumer Products from the perspective of Reynolds Consumer response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Reynolds Consumer using Reynolds Consumer's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Reynolds using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Reynolds Consumer's stock price.
Reynolds Consumer Short Interest
An investor who is long Reynolds Consumer may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Reynolds Consumer and may potentially protect profits, hedge Reynolds Consumer with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 23.1684 | Short Percent 0.1196 | Short Ratio 8.71 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.1 M | 50 Day MA 23.9249 |
Reynolds Consumer Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Reynolds Consumer's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Reynolds. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Reynolds can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Reynolds Consumer Products. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Reynolds Consumer's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Reynolds Consumer.
Reynolds Consumer Implied Volatility | 1.03 |
Reynolds Consumer's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Reynolds Consumer Products stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Reynolds Consumer's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Reynolds Consumer stock will not fluctuate a lot when Reynolds Consumer's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Reynolds Consumer to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Reynolds because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Reynolds Consumer after-hype prediction price | USD 22.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Reynolds contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Reynolds Consumer Products will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0644% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Reynolds Consumer trading at USD 22.66, that is roughly USD 0.0146 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Reynolds Consumer's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Reynolds Consumer Products options at the current volatility level of 1.03%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Reynolds Consumer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Reynolds Consumer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Reynolds Consumer After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Reynolds Consumer at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Reynolds Consumer or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Reynolds Consumer, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Reynolds Consumer Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Reynolds Consumer's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Reynolds Consumer's historical news coverage. Reynolds Consumer's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.63 and 23.79, respectively. We have considered Reynolds Consumer's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Reynolds Consumer is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Reynolds Consumer is based on 3 months time horizon.
Reynolds Consumer Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Reynolds Consumer is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Reynolds Consumer backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Reynolds Consumer, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.08 | 0.02 | 0.11 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.66 | 22.71 | 0.66 |
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Reynolds Consumer Hype Timeline
Reynolds Consumer is at this time traded for 22.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Reynolds is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 22.71 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.66%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Reynolds Consumer is about 107.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.77. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.69 B. Net Income was 352 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 928 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Reynolds Consumer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Reynolds Consumer Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Reynolds Consumer's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Reynolds Consumer's future price movements. Getting to know how Reynolds Consumer's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Reynolds Consumer may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SEE | Sealed Air | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.52 | 0.10 | 2.13 | (1.31) | 19.98 | |
| GPK | Graphic Packaging Holding | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.59 | (3.21) | 17.54 | |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings | 1.62 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.44 | (2.84) | 13.91 | |
| SON | Sonoco Products | (0.13) | 9 per month | 1.13 | 0.11 | 3.18 | (2.07) | 6.16 | |
| GNTX | Gentex | 0.00 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.63 | (2.24) | 10.19 | |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive | 7.80 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.58 | (2.48) | 6.35 | |
| MTN | Vail Resorts | (0.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.44 | (3.39) | 13.29 | |
| FTDR | Frontdoor | 0.86 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.10 | (2.86) | 17.53 | |
| BBWI | Bath Body Works | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.78 | (4.50) | 27.08 | |
| M | Macys Inc | (0.06) | 12 per month | 2.05 | 0.03 | 5.52 | (3.68) | 14.51 |
Reynolds Consumer Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Reynolds price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Reynolds using various technical indicators. When you analyze Reynolds charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Reynolds Consumer Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Reynolds Consumer stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Reynolds Consumer Products, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Reynolds Consumer based on analysis of Reynolds Consumer hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Reynolds Consumer's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Reynolds Consumer's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0341 | 0.0339 | 0.0237 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.5 | 1.53 | 1.98 |
Pair Trading with Reynolds Consumer
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Reynolds Consumer position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Reynolds Consumer will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Reynolds Stock
| 0.48 | 000737 | North Copper Shanxi | PairCorr |
| 0.39 | 000523 | Lonkey Industrial | PairCorr |
| 0.33 | RKT | Reckitt Benckiser Split | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Reynolds Consumer could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Reynolds Consumer when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Reynolds Consumer - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Reynolds Consumer Products to buy it.
The correlation of Reynolds Consumer is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Reynolds Consumer moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Reynolds Consumer moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Reynolds Consumer can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Reynolds Consumer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Will Household Products sector continue expanding? Could Reynolds diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Reynolds Consumer. Anticipated expansion of Reynolds directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Reynolds Consumer data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | Dividend Share 0.92 | Earnings Share 1.44 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.023 |
The market value of Reynolds Consumer is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Reynolds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Reynolds Consumer's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Reynolds Consumer's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Reynolds Consumer's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Reynolds Consumer's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Reynolds Consumer's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Reynolds Consumer should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Reynolds Consumer's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.