Royal Gold Stock Forecast - Relative Strength Index
| RGLD Stock | USD 301.21 7.48 2.55% |
Royal Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Royal Gold stock prices and determine the direction of Royal Gold's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Royal Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time The relative strength momentum indicator of Royal Gold's share price is above 80 indicating that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 83
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.142 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.5046 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.0467 | EPS Estimate Next Year 12.1419 | Wall Street Target Price 305.0909 |
Using Royal Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Royal Gold from the perspective of Royal Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Royal Gold using Royal Gold's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Royal using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Royal Gold's stock price.
Royal Gold Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Royal Gold's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Royal. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Royal Gold stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 190.2005 | Short Percent 0.0364 | Short Ratio 2.18 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.3 M | 50 Day MA 225.694 |
Royal Relative Strength Index
Royal Gold Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Royal Gold's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Royal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Royal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Royal Gold. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Royal Gold's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Royal Gold.
Royal Gold Implied Volatility | 0.58 |
Royal Gold's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Royal Gold stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Royal Gold's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Royal Gold stock will not fluctuate a lot when Royal Gold's options are near their expiration.
Royal Gold after-hype prediction price | USD 305.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Royal Gold to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Royal contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Royal Gold will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0363% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Royal Gold trading at USD 301.21, that is roughly USD 0.11 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Royal Gold's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Royal Gold options at the current volatility level of 0.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Royal Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Royal Gold's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Royal Gold's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Royal Gold stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Royal Gold's open interest, investors have to compare it to Royal Gold's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Royal Gold is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Royal. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Royal Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Royal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Royal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Royal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Relative Strength Index | Relative Strength Index | Trend |
| 83.62 | 83.62 |
| Check Royal Gold Volatility | Backtest Royal Gold | Information Ratio |
Royal Gold Trading Date Momentum
| On January 29 2026 Royal Gold was traded for 301.21 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 301.21 and the lowest listed price was 293.73 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 29, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 2.48% . |
| Compare Royal Gold to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Royal Gold
For every potential investor in Royal, whether a beginner or expert, Royal Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Royal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Royal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Royal Gold's price trends.Royal Gold Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Royal Gold stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Royal Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Royal Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Royal Gold Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Royal Gold stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Royal Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Royal Gold stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Royal Gold entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Royal Gold Risk Indicators
The analysis of Royal Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Royal Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting royal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Variance | 4.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.99 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.12 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.98) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Royal Gold
The number of cover stories for Royal Gold depends on current market conditions and Royal Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Royal Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Royal Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Royal Gold Short Properties
Royal Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Royal Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Royal Gold often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Royal Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Royal Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 195.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Royal Gold to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Royal Stock refer to our How to Trade Royal Stock guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Royal diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Royal Gold. Anticipated expansion of Royal directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Royal Gold data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.142 | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 7.28 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.059 |
The market value of Royal Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Royal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Royal Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Royal Gold's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Royal Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Royal Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Royal Gold's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Royal Gold should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Royal Gold's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.