Rivian Automotive Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| RIVN Stock | USD 14.21 0.20 1.39% |
Rivian Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Rivian Automotive's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Rivian Automotive's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Rivian Automotive fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Rivian Automotive's share price is approaching 36 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rivian Automotive, making its price go up or down. Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.86) | EPS Estimate Current Year (3.23) | EPS Estimate Next Year (2.93) | Wall Street Target Price 16.96 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.86) |
Using Rivian Automotive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rivian Automotive from the perspective of Rivian Automotive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Rivian Automotive using Rivian Automotive's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Rivian using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Rivian Automotive's stock price.
Rivian Automotive Short Interest
An investor who is long Rivian Automotive may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Rivian Automotive and may potentially protect profits, hedge Rivian Automotive with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 14.7273 | Short Percent 0.1366 | Short Ratio 3.7 | Shares Short Prior Month 154.1 M | 50 Day MA 17.7692 |
Rivian Relative Strength Index
Rivian Automotive Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Rivian Automotive's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Rivian. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Rivian can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Rivian Automotive. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Rivian Automotive's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Rivian Automotive.
Rivian Automotive Implied Volatility | 0.74 |
Rivian Automotive's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Rivian Automotive stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Rivian Automotive's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Rivian Automotive stock will not fluctuate a lot when Rivian Automotive's options are near their expiration.
Rivian Automotive after-hype prediction price | USD 14.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rivian Automotive to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Rivian contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Rivian Automotive will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0463% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Rivian Automotive trading at USD 14.21, that is roughly USD 0.006572 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Rivian Automotive's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Rivian Automotive options at the current volatility level of 0.74%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Rivian Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Rivian Automotive's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Rivian Automotive's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Rivian Automotive stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Rivian Automotive's open interest, investors have to compare it to Rivian Automotive's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Rivian Automotive is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Rivian. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Rivian Automotive Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rivian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rivian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rivian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 0.0142 | 0.0139 |
| Check Rivian Automotive Volatility | Backtest Rivian Automotive | Information Ratio |
Rivian Automotive Trading Date Momentum
| On February 04 2026 Rivian Automotive was traded for 14.21 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 14.41 and the lowest listed price was 14.21 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 4, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 1.44% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Rivian Automotive to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Rivian Automotive
For every potential investor in Rivian, whether a beginner or expert, Rivian Automotive's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rivian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rivian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rivian Automotive's price trends.Rivian Automotive Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rivian Automotive stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rivian Automotive could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rivian Automotive by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rivian Automotive Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rivian Automotive stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rivian Automotive shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rivian Automotive stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rivian Automotive entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Rivian Automotive Risk Indicators
The analysis of Rivian Automotive's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rivian Automotive's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rivian stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.1 | |||
| Variance | 26.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.73) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Rivian Automotive
The number of cover stories for Rivian Automotive depends on current market conditions and Rivian Automotive's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rivian Automotive is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rivian Automotive's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Rivian Automotive Short Properties
Rivian Automotive's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rivian Automotive's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rivian Automotive often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rivian Automotive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rivian Automotive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.7 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rivian Automotive to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Rivian Stock, please use our How to Invest in Rivian Automotive guide.You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Will Automobile Manufacturers sector continue expanding? Could Rivian diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rivian Automotive. Anticipated expansion of Rivian directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Rivian Automotive data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (3.10) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.783 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Rivian Automotive requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Rivian's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Rivian Automotive's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Rivian Automotive's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Rivian Automotive's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Rivian Automotive should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Rivian Automotive's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.