Root Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| ROOT Stock | USD 61.09 3.28 5.67% |
Root Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength indicator of Root's share price is approaching 33 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Root, making its price go up or down. Momentum 33
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Root hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Root Inc from the perspective of Root response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Root Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 59.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 114.02. Root after-hype prediction price | USD 61.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Root to cross-verify your projections. Root Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Root price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Root using various technical indicators. When you analyze Root charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Root Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Root Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 59.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.93, mean absolute percentage error of 5.92, and the sum of the absolute errors of 114.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Root Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Root's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Root Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Root | Root Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Root Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Root's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Root's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 56.13 and 62.77, respectively. We have considered Root's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Root stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Root stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.2131 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.5364 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.9326 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0281 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 114.025 |
Predictive Modules for Root
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Root Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Root After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Root at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Root or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Root, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Root Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Root's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Root's historical news coverage. Root's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.29 and 64.79, respectively. We have considered Root's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Root is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Root Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Root Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Root is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Root backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Root, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 3.32 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
61.09 | 61.54 | 0.47 |
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Root Hype Timeline
Root Inc is at this time traded for 61.09. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.07. Root is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 61.54 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.47%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Root is about 1824.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.16. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.18 B. Net Income was 30.9 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 576.7 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Root to cross-verify your projections.Root Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Root's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Root's future price movements. Getting to know how Root's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Root may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SAFT | Safety Insurance Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | (0.04) | 1.95 | (2.04) | 5.04 | |
| SIGI | Selective Insurance Group | 1.13 | 10 per month | 1.02 | 0.01 | 2.56 | (1.58) | 5.80 | |
| ASIC | Ategrity Specialty Insurance | 0.30 | 11 per month | 1.94 | 0.09 | 4.59 | (3.72) | 26.91 | |
| PRA | ProAssurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.16 | (0.25) | 0.46 | (0.41) | 1.36 | |
| OBK | Origin Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.09 | 0.12 | 2.92 | (1.84) | 9.64 | |
| UVE | Universal Insurance Holdings | 0.28 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.43 | (3.63) | 9.97 | |
| BOW | Bowhead Specialty Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.83 | (3.89) | 11.58 | |
| HRZN | Horizon Technology Finance | 0.05 | 6 per month | 1.15 | (0.07) | 1.79 | (2.15) | 5.22 | |
| MFIC | MidCap Financial Investment | 0.02 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.32 | (1.57) | 6.99 | |
| CSWC | Capital Southwest | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.76 | 0.10 | 2.11 | (1.29) | 6.19 |
Other Forecasting Options for Root
For every potential investor in Root, whether a beginner or expert, Root's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Root Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Root. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Root's price trends.Root Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Root stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Root could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Root by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Root Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Root stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Root shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Root stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Root Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 26862.65 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.009231 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 59.88 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 60.28 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.86 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 3.28 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 33.44 |
Root Risk Indicators
The analysis of Root's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Root's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting root stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.32 | |||
| Variance | 11.02 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Root
The number of cover stories for Root depends on current market conditions and Root's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Root is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Root's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Root Short Properties
Root's future price predictability will typically decrease when Root's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Root Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Root's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Root's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 906.1 M |
Additional Tools for Root Stock Analysis
When running Root's price analysis, check to measure Root's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Root is operating at the current time. Most of Root's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Root's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Root's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Root to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.