Red River Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

RRBI Stock  USD 75.02  0.46  0.61%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Red River Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 78.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.90. Red Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Red River's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 18th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Red River's share price is at 54 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Red River, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 54

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Red River's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Red River Bancshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Red River's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.283
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.61
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.1967
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.5167
Wall Street Target Price
81.6667
Using Red River hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Red River Bancshares from the perspective of Red River response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Red River Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 78.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.90.

Red River after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 63.07  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Red River to cross-verify your projections.
The current Payables Turnover is estimated to decrease to 4.69. The current Receivables Turnover is estimated to decrease to 16.50. The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 5.8 M. The current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to decrease to about 26 M.

Red River Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Red price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Red using various technical indicators. When you analyze Red charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Red River Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Red River's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2018-03-31
Previous Quarter
42.5 M
Current Value
161.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
201.2 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Red River is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Red River Bancshares value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Red River Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Red River Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 78.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83, mean absolute percentage error of 1.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.90.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Red Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Red River's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Red River Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Red RiverRed River Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Red River Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Red River's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Red River's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 76.52 and 79.74, respectively. We have considered Red River's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
75.02
78.13
Expected Value
79.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Red River stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Red River stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1677
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8344
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.012
SAESum of the absolute errors50.8967
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Red River Bancshares. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Red River. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Red River

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Red River Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.4663.0782.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.8676.4778.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
70.3073.0975.89
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
74.3281.6790.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Red River. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Red River's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Red River's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Red River Bancshares.

Other Forecasting Options for Red River

For every potential investor in Red, whether a beginner or expert, Red River's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Red Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Red. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Red River's price trends.

Red River Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Red River stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Red River could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Red River by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Red River Bancshares Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Red River's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Red River's current price.

Red River Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Red River stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Red River shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Red River stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Red River Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Red River Risk Indicators

The analysis of Red River's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Red River's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting red stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Red River Bancshares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Red River's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Red River Bancshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Red River Bancshares Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Red River to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Red River. If investors know Red will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Red River listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.283
Dividend Share
0.48
Earnings Share
6.01
Revenue Per Share
17.73
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.134
The market value of Red River Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Red that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Red River's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Red River's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Red River's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Red River's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Red River's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Red River is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Red River's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.