Red River Stock Forward View
| RRBI Stock | USD 90.11 0.51 0.56% |
Red Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Red River's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 11th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Red River's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.264 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5433 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.12 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.35 | Wall Street Target Price 93.5 |
Using Red River hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Red River Bancshares from the perspective of Red River response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Red River Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 92.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.32. Red River after-hype prediction price | USD 88.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Red River to cross-verify your projections. Red River Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Red price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Red using various technical indicators. When you analyze Red charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Red River Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Red River's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2018-03-31 | Previous Quarter 161.1 M | Current Value 25.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 203.6 M |
Red River Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Red River Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 92.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.17, mean absolute percentage error of 2.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.32.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Red Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Red River's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Red River Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Red River | Red River Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Red River Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Red River's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Red River's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 90.11 and 93.97, respectively. We have considered Red River's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Red River stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Red River stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.8545 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1665 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0153 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 72.3249 |
Predictive Modules for Red River
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Red River Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Red River After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Red River at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Red River or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Red River, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Red River Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Red River's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Red River's historical news coverage. Red River's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.00 and 90.86, respectively. We have considered Red River's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Red River is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Red River Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Red River Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Red River is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Red River backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Red River, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 1.93 | 1.18 | 0.10 | 5 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
90.11 | 88.93 | 1.31 |
|
Red River Hype Timeline
Red River Bancshares is at this time traded for 90.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Red is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 88.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 83.55%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.31%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.51%. The volatility of related hype on Red River is about 946.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 90.21. About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.63. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Red River Bancshares recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.38. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Red River to cross-verify your projections.Red River Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Red River's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Red River's future price movements. Getting to know how Red River's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Red River may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HBCP | Home Bancorp | (1.30) | 8 per month | 1.24 | 0.08 | 3.62 | (1.95) | 9.64 | |
| NFBK | Northfield Bancorp | (0.31) | 8 per month | 1.02 | 0.17 | 3.73 | (2.43) | 13.02 | |
| FBIZ | First Business Financial | 1.36 | 9 per month | 0.99 | 0.08 | 3.35 | (1.91) | 8.36 | |
| PGC | Peapack Gladstone Financial | (0.10) | 8 per month | 1.33 | 0.20 | 4.02 | (2.31) | 11.04 | |
| CBNK | Capital Bancorp | 0.23 | 10 per month | 1.11 | 0.08 | 2.92 | (2.03) | 8.42 | |
| PFIS | Peoples Fin | (0.45) | 8 per month | 1.08 | 0.13 | 3.21 | (1.89) | 8.79 | |
| BWB | Bridgewater Bancshares | 0.85 | 11 per month | 1.16 | 0.09 | 3.22 | (1.96) | 9.97 | |
| UNTY | Unity Bancorp | 1.86 | 10 per month | 1.19 | 0.12 | 3.33 | (2.87) | 7.55 | |
| COFS | ChoiceOne Financial Services | 0.22 | 9 per month | 1.70 | (0.04) | 3.72 | (2.94) | 10.14 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.32) | 6 per month | 0.93 | 0.09 | 3.42 | (1.52) | 7.92 |
Other Forecasting Options for Red River
For every potential investor in Red, whether a beginner or expert, Red River's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Red Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Red. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Red River's price trends.Red River Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Red River stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Red River could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Red River by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Red River Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Red River stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Red River shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Red River stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Red River Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 398.38 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.49) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 89.89 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 89.96 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.51) |
Red River Risk Indicators
The analysis of Red River's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Red River's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting red stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9502 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Variance | 3.45 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.87 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9029 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.71) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Red River
The number of cover stories for Red River depends on current market conditions and Red River's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Red River is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Red River's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Red River Short Properties
Red River's future price predictability will typically decrease when Red River's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Red River Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Red River's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Red River's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 673 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Red River to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is there potential for Regional Banks market expansion? Will Red introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Red River. Anticipated expansion of Red directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Red River listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.264 | Dividend Share 0.48 | Earnings Share 6.38 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.138 |
Red River Bancshares's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Red's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Red River's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Red River's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Red River's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Red River should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Red River's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.