SM Energy Stock Forecast - Relative Strength Index
| SM Stock | USD 19.28 0.10 0.52% |
SM Energy Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although SM Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of SM Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of SM Energy fundamentals over time.
As of now the value of relative strength index of SM Energy's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.0079 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.4501 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.0429 | Wall Street Target Price 30.8333 |
Using SM Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SM Energy Co from the perspective of SM Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SM Energy using SM Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SM Energy using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SM Energy's stock price.
SM Energy Short Interest
An investor who is long SM Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about SM Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge SM Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 23.3401 | Short Percent 0.1056 | Short Ratio 3.21 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.1 M | 50 Day MA 18.8576 |
SM Energy Relative Strength Index
SM Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to SM Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SM Energy. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SM Energy can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SM Energy Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SM Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SM Energy.
SM Energy Implied Volatility | 0.77 |
SM Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SM Energy Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SM Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SM Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when SM Energy's options are near their expiration.
SM Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 19.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SM Energy contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that SM Energy Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0481% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With SM Energy trading at USD 19.28, that is roughly USD 0.009279 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating SM Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring SM Energy Co options at the current volatility level of 0.77%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 SM Energy Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast SM Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in SM Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for SM Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current SM Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to SM Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of SM Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in SM Energy. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
SM Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SM Energy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SM Energy using various technical indicators. When you analyze SM Energy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Relative Strength Index | Relative Strength Index | Trend |
| 51.59 | 51.59 |
| Check SM Energy Volatility | Backtest SM Energy | Information Ratio |
SM Energy Trading Date Momentum
| On January 27 2026 SM Energy Co was traded for 19.28 at the closing time. The highest price during the trading period was 19.56 and the lowest recorded bid was listed for 18.88 . The volume for the day was 3.7 M. This history from January 27, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to the current price is 1.35% . |
| Compare SM Energy to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for SM Energy
For every potential investor in SM Energy, whether a beginner or expert, SM Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SM Energy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SM Energy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SM Energy's price trends.SM Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SM Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SM Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SM Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SM Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SM Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SM Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SM Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SM Energy Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SM Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of SM Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SM Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sm energy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Variance | 6.73 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SM Energy
The number of cover stories for SM Energy depends on current market conditions and SM Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SM Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SM Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SM Energy to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SM Energy. If investors know SM Energy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SM Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 6.33 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.267 |
The market value of SM Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SM Energy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SM Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SM Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SM Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SM Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SM Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SM Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SM Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.