Southern Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| SOJD Stock | USD 20.38 0.05 0.25% |
Southern Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Southern stock prices and determine the direction of Southern Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Southern's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Southern's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Southern hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Southern Co from the perspective of Southern response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Southern Co on the next trading day is expected to be 20.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.39. Southern after-hype prediction price | USD 20.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southern to cross-verify your projections. Southern Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Southern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Southern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Southern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Southern Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Southern Co on the next trading day is expected to be 20.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Southern Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Southern's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Southern Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Southern | Southern Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Southern Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Southern's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Southern's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.09 and 20.99, respectively. We have considered Southern's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Southern stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Southern stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.4721 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1354 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0067 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.3945 |
Predictive Modules for Southern
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Southern After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Southern at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Southern or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Southern, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Southern Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Southern's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Southern's historical news coverage. Southern's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.93 and 20.83, respectively. We have considered Southern's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Southern is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southern is based on 3 months time horizon.
Southern Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Southern is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Southern backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Southern, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.38 | 20.38 | 0.00 |
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Southern Hype Timeline
Southern is at this time traded for 20.38. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Southern is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Southern is about 103.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.38. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southern to cross-verify your projections.Southern Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Southern's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Southern's future price movements. Getting to know how Southern's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Southern may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PEG | Public Service Enterprise | 1.55 | 8 per month | 1.13 | (0.08) | 1.61 | (2.04) | 5.67 | |
| WEC | WEC Energy Group | 1.81 | 3 per month | 0.80 | (0.11) | 1.05 | (1.23) | 4.32 | |
| ED | Consolidated Edison | 1.10 | 10 per month | 0.98 | 0.05 | 1.91 | (1.65) | 4.62 | |
| PCG | PGE Corp | 0.15 | 9 per month | 1.48 | (0.04) | 1.79 | (2.31) | 6.66 | |
| EXC | Exelon | (1.09) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.31 | (1.77) | 4.76 | |
| XEL | Xcel Energy | (0.46) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.27 | (1.88) | 3.97 | |
| DTB | DTE Energy | (0.03) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 0.82 | (0.81) | 2.49 | |
| NEE-PN | Nextera Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.29 | (0.18) | 0.63 | (0.58) | 1.87 | |
| DTG | DTE Energy | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.81 | (0.75) | 2.35 | |
| DTE | DTE Energy | 1.23 | 13 per month | 1.10 | (0.07) | 1.45 | (1.55) | 4.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for Southern
For every potential investor in Southern, whether a beginner or expert, Southern's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Southern Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Southern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Southern's price trends.Southern Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Southern stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Southern could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Southern by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Southern Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Southern stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Southern shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Southern stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Southern Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 305.49 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4545 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.34 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.35 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.07 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.05 |
Southern Risk Indicators
The analysis of Southern's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Southern's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting southern stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3021 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4325 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4513 | |||
| Variance | 0.2037 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.2687 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1871 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Southern
The number of cover stories for Southern depends on current market conditions and Southern's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Southern is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Southern's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Southern Short Properties
Southern's future price predictability will typically decrease when Southern's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Southern Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Southern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Southern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Dividends Paid | -3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southern to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Will Electric Utilities sector continue expanding? Could Southern diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Southern. If investors know Southern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Southern data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Southern requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Southern's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Southern's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Southern's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Southern's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Southern is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Southern's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.