Telefonica Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

TEF Stock  USD 3.99  0.01  0.25%   
Telefonica Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Telefonica's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Telefonica's share price is at 50. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Telefonica, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Telefonica's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Telefonica and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Telefonica's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Telefonica SA ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Telefonica's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
26.6
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.241
Wall Street Target Price
4.315
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Using Telefonica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Telefonica SA ADR from the perspective of Telefonica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Telefonica using Telefonica's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Telefonica using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Telefonica's stock price.

Telefonica Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Telefonica's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Telefonica. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Telefonica stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
4.9275
Short Percent
0.0007
Short Ratio
3.37
Shares Short Prior Month
4.2 M
50 Day MA
4.3284

Telefonica SA ADR Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Telefonica's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Telefonica. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Telefonica can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Telefonica SA ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Telefonica's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Telefonica.

Telefonica Implied Volatility

    
  1.56  
Telefonica's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Telefonica SA ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Telefonica's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Telefonica stock will not fluctuate a lot when Telefonica's options are near their expiration.

Telefonica after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Telefonica to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Telefonica's Inventory Turnover is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The Telefonica's current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 2.17, while Receivables Turnover is projected to decrease to 3.87. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 5 B. The Telefonica's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (271.9 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Telefonica Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Telefonica's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Telefonica's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Telefonica stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Telefonica's open interest, investors have to compare it to Telefonica's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Telefonica is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Telefonica. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Telefonica Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Telefonica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Telefonica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Telefonica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Telefonica SA ADR has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.0124. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Telefonica is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Telefonica SA ADR to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Telefonica trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Telefonica VolatilityBacktest TelefonicaInformation Ratio  

Telefonica Trading Date Momentum

On January 05 2026 Telefonica SA ADR was traded for  3.99  at the closing time. Highest Telefonica's price during the trading hours was 4.04  and the lowest price during the day was  3.99 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 5th of January did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 0.25% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Telefonica to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Telefonica

For every potential investor in Telefonica, whether a beginner or expert, Telefonica's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Telefonica Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Telefonica. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Telefonica's price trends.

Telefonica Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Telefonica stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Telefonica could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Telefonica by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Telefonica SA ADR Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Telefonica's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Telefonica's current price.

Telefonica Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Telefonica stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Telefonica shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Telefonica stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Telefonica SA ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Telefonica Risk Indicators

The analysis of Telefonica's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Telefonica's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting telefonica stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Telefonica SA ADR is a strong investment it is important to analyze Telefonica's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Telefonica's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Telefonica Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Telefonica to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Diversified Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Telefonica. If investors know Telefonica will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Telefonica listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
26.6
Dividend Share
0.15
Earnings Share
(0.22)
Revenue Per Share
7.382
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Telefonica SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Telefonica that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Telefonica's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Telefonica's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Telefonica's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Telefonica's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Telefonica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Telefonica is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Telefonica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.