Gentherm Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| THRM Stock | USD 36.66 0.04 0.11% |
Gentherm Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Gentherm's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Gentherm's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Gentherm fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Gentherm's share price is approaching 47. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Gentherm, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.546 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.3912 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.6158 | Wall Street Target Price 45.6 |
Using Gentherm hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gentherm from the perspective of Gentherm response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gentherm using Gentherm's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gentherm using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gentherm's stock price.
Gentherm Short Interest
An investor who is long Gentherm may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Gentherm and may potentially protect profits, hedge Gentherm with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 32.7594 | Short Percent 0.0294 | Short Ratio 3.5 | Shares Short Prior Month 731.3 K | 50 Day MA 36.7708 |
Gentherm Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Gentherm on the next trading day is expected to be 36.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.88.Gentherm Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gentherm's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gentherm. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gentherm can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gentherm. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gentherm's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gentherm.
Gentherm Implied Volatility | 1.06 |
Gentherm's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gentherm stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gentherm's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gentherm stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gentherm's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Gentherm on the next trading day is expected to be 36.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.88. Gentherm after-hype prediction price | USD 36.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gentherm to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Gentherm contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Gentherm will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0663% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Gentherm trading at USD 36.66, that is roughly USD 0.0243 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Gentherm's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Gentherm options at the current volatility level of 1.06%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Gentherm Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Gentherm's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Gentherm's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Gentherm stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Gentherm's open interest, investors have to compare it to Gentherm's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Gentherm is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Gentherm. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Gentherm Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gentherm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gentherm using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gentherm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gentherm Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Gentherm on the next trading day is expected to be 36.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 0.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.88.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gentherm Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gentherm's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gentherm Stock Forecast Pattern
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Gentherm Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gentherm's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gentherm's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.54 and 38.78, respectively. We have considered Gentherm's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gentherm stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gentherm stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7798 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0081 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6146 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0168 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.875 |
Predictive Modules for Gentherm
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gentherm. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gentherm After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gentherm at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gentherm or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gentherm, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gentherm Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gentherm's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gentherm's historical news coverage. Gentherm's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.55 and 38.77, respectively. We have considered Gentherm's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gentherm is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gentherm is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gentherm Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gentherm is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gentherm backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gentherm, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 2.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 14 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
36.66 | 36.66 | 0.00 |
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Gentherm Hype Timeline
Gentherm is at this time traded for 36.66. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Gentherm is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gentherm is about 365.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.66. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.56. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Gentherm has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.71. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:5 split on the 28th of January 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 14 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gentherm to cross-verify your projections.Gentherm Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gentherm's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gentherm's future price movements. Getting to know how Gentherm's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gentherm may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XPEL | Xpel Inc | 1.53 | 6 per month | 1.37 | 0.26 | 4.45 | (2.59) | 11.45 | |
| WGO | Winnebago Industries | 0.02 | 26 per month | 2.26 | 0.13 | 6.78 | (3.17) | 36.74 | |
| FOXF | Fox Factory Holding | 0.07 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.90 | (5.07) | 28.69 | |
| MLCO | Melco Resorts Entertainment | 3.60 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.07 | (3.55) | 13.15 | |
| LOT | Lotus Technology | 0.95 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.63 | (6.38) | 29.19 | |
| SMP | Standard Motor Products | 0.62 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.07 | (2.25) | 7.22 | |
| CRI | Carters | (0.44) | 8 per month | 2.36 | 0.09 | 5.04 | (4.43) | 14.38 | |
| LVWR | LiveWire Group | (0.06) | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 7.50 | (10.10) | 22.25 | |
| GIII | G III Apparel Group | (0.36) | 11 per month | 1.70 | (0.01) | 3.85 | (2.62) | 9.35 | |
| ECX | ECARX Holdings Class | (0.13) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.25 | (10.48) | 26.42 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gentherm
For every potential investor in Gentherm, whether a beginner or expert, Gentherm's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gentherm Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gentherm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gentherm's price trends.Gentherm Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gentherm stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gentherm could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gentherm by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gentherm Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gentherm stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gentherm shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gentherm stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gentherm entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Gentherm Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gentherm's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gentherm's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gentherm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Variance | 5.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.47 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.18 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gentherm
The number of cover stories for Gentherm depends on current market conditions and Gentherm's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gentherm is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gentherm's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gentherm Short Properties
Gentherm's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gentherm's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gentherm often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gentherm's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gentherm's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 134.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gentherm to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Gentherm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Gentherm guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gentherm. If investors know Gentherm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gentherm listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Earnings Share 0.99 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.041 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Gentherm is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gentherm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gentherm's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gentherm's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gentherm's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gentherm's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gentherm's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gentherm is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gentherm's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.