Taylor Morn Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| TMHC Stock | USD 62.24 1.06 1.67% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Taylor Morn Home on the next trading day is expected to be 62.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 92.10. Taylor Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Taylor Morn stock prices and determine the direction of Taylor Morn Home's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Taylor Morn's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Taylor Morn's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.9719 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.8148 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.4738 | Wall Street Target Price 75.25 |
Using Taylor Morn hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Taylor Morn Home from the perspective of Taylor Morn response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Taylor Morn using Taylor Morn's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Taylor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Taylor Morn's stock price.
Taylor Morn Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Taylor Morn's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Taylor. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Taylor Morn stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 61.8057 | Short Percent 0.074 | Short Ratio 5.23 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.5 M | 50 Day MA 61.1844 |
Taylor Morn Home Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Taylor Morn's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Taylor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Taylor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Taylor Morn Home. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Taylor Morn Implied Volatility | 0.41 |
Taylor Morn's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Taylor Morn Home stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Taylor Morn's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Taylor Morn stock will not fluctuate a lot when Taylor Morn's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Taylor Morn Home on the next trading day is expected to be 62.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 92.10. Taylor Morn after-hype prediction price | USD 62.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Taylor Morn to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Taylor contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Taylor Morn Home will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0256% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Taylor Morn trading at USD 62.24, that is roughly USD 0.0159 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Taylor Morn's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Taylor Morn Home options at the current volatility level of 0.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Taylor Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Taylor Morn's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Taylor Morn's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Taylor Morn stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Taylor Morn's open interest, investors have to compare it to Taylor Morn's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Taylor Morn is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Taylor. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Taylor Morn Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Taylor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Taylor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Taylor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Taylor Morn Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Taylor Morn Home on the next trading day is expected to be 62.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.49, mean absolute percentage error of 3.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 92.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Taylor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Taylor Morn's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Taylor Morn Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Taylor Morn | Taylor Morn Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Taylor Morn Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Taylor Morn's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Taylor Morn's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 60.75 and 64.52, respectively. We have considered Taylor Morn's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Taylor Morn stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Taylor Morn stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.1493 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4855 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0243 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 92.0983 |
Predictive Modules for Taylor Morn
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Taylor Morn Home. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Taylor Morn After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Taylor Morn at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Taylor Morn or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Taylor Morn, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Taylor Morn Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Taylor Morn's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Taylor Morn's historical news coverage. Taylor Morn's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 60.36 and 64.12, respectively. We have considered Taylor Morn's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Taylor Morn is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Taylor Morn Home is based on 3 months time horizon.
Taylor Morn Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Taylor Morn is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Taylor Morn backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Taylor Morn, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.88 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
62.24 | 62.24 | 0.00 |
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Taylor Morn Hype Timeline
Taylor Morn Home is at this time traded for 62.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Taylor is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Taylor Morn is about 167.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 62.33. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.0. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Taylor Morn Home has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.51. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.16. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Taylor Morn to cross-verify your projections.Taylor Morn Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Taylor Morn's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Taylor Morn's future price movements. Getting to know how Taylor Morn's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Taylor Morn may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MTH | Meritage | 5.54 | 12 per month | 1.83 | (0) | 3.46 | (2.86) | 13.06 | |
| KBH | KB Home | 2.62 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.30 | (2.48) | 15.09 | |
| IBP | Installed Building Products | (3.84) | 10 per month | 2.07 | 0.06 | 6.20 | (3.28) | 13.12 | |
| LEA | Lear Corporation | (0.88) | 8 per month | 1.27 | 0.13 | 3.50 | (2.18) | 8.69 | |
| URBN | Urban Outfitters | 2.48 | 9 per month | 3.08 | (0) | 5.28 | (4.20) | 25.85 | |
| BBWI | Bath Body Works | 0.27 | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.78 | (4.50) | 28.56 | |
| MHO | MI Homes | 1.38 | 8 per month | 2.00 | (0.04) | 4.51 | (3.54) | 10.17 | |
| CVCO | Cavco Industries | 1.38 | 4 per month | 2.16 | 0.08 | 4.83 | (2.50) | 13.22 | |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels Resorts | 2.09 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.15 | (3.12) | 8.29 | |
| M | Macys Inc | 0.16 | 11 per month | 2.04 | 0.06 | 5.52 | (3.68) | 14.51 |
Other Forecasting Options for Taylor Morn
For every potential investor in Taylor, whether a beginner or expert, Taylor Morn's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Taylor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Taylor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Taylor Morn's price trends.Taylor Morn Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Taylor Morn stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Taylor Morn could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Taylor Morn by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Taylor Morn Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Taylor Morn stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Taylor Morn shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Taylor Morn stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Taylor Morn Home entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 19577.43 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.51) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 62.63 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 62.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.91) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.06) |
Taylor Morn Risk Indicators
The analysis of Taylor Morn's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Taylor Morn's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting taylor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Variance | 3.5 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.15 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.50) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Taylor Morn
The number of cover stories for Taylor Morn depends on current market conditions and Taylor Morn's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Taylor Morn is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Taylor Morn's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Taylor Morn Short Properties
Taylor Morn's future price predictability will typically decrease when Taylor Morn's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Taylor Morn Home often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Taylor Morn's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Taylor Morn's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 106.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 487.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Taylor Morn to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Taylor Morn. If investors know Taylor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Taylor Morn listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | Earnings Share 8.16 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Taylor Morn Home is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Taylor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Taylor Morn's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Taylor Morn's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Taylor Morn's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Taylor Morn's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Taylor Morn's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Taylor Morn is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Taylor Morn's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.