Tennant Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

TNC Stock  USD 78.56  1.11  1.43%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tennant Company on the next trading day is expected to be 81.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.17. Tennant Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Tennant stock prices and determine the direction of Tennant Company's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tennant's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Tennant's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Tennant's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tennant Company, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Tennant's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.27)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.6933
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.7767
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.7167
Wall Street Target Price
110
Using Tennant hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tennant Company from the perspective of Tennant response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tennant using Tennant's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tennant using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tennant's stock price.

Tennant Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Tennant's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Tennant. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Tennant stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
77.4378
Short Percent
0.0488
Short Ratio
5.03
Shares Short Prior Month
547.4 K
50 Day MA
74.6374

Tennant Company Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Tennant's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tennant. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tennant can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tennant Company. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Tennant's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Tennant.

Tennant Implied Volatility

    
  0.38  
Tennant's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tennant Company stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tennant's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tennant stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tennant's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tennant Company on the next trading day is expected to be 81.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.17.

Tennant after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 78.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tennant to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Tennant's Payables Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 4.94, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 4.04. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 101.1 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 15.3 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Tennant Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Tennant's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Tennant's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Tennant stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Tennant's open interest, investors have to compare it to Tennant's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Tennant is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Tennant. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Tennant Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Tennant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tennant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tennant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Tennant Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Tennant's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1985-12-31
Previous Quarter
80.1 M
Current Value
99.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
38.4 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Tennant is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Tennant Company value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Tennant Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tennant Company on the next trading day is expected to be 81.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95, mean absolute percentage error of 1.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tennant Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tennant's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tennant Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest TennantTennant Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Tennant Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tennant's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tennant's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 79.49 and 82.68, respectively. We have considered Tennant's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
78.56
81.09
Expected Value
82.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tennant stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tennant stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.4029
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9536
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0127
SAESum of the absolute errors58.1707
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Tennant Company. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Tennant. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Tennant

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tennant Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
76.9578.5680.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.1876.7986.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
69.9574.5279.10
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
100.10110.00122.10
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Tennant

For every potential investor in Tennant, whether a beginner or expert, Tennant's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tennant Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tennant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tennant's price trends.

Tennant Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tennant stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tennant could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tennant by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tennant Company Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tennant's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tennant's current price.

Tennant Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tennant stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tennant shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tennant stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tennant Company entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tennant Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tennant's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tennant's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tennant stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Tennant Company offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tennant's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tennant Company Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tennant Company Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tennant to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tennant. If investors know Tennant will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tennant listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.27)
Dividend Share
1.18
Earnings Share
2.92
Revenue Per Share
66.802
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Tennant Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tennant that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tennant's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tennant's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tennant's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tennant's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tennant's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tennant is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tennant's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.