Tennant Company Stock Price Prediction

TNC Stock  USD 86.39  0.11  0.13%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Tennant's share price is approaching 37. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tennant, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

37

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Tennant's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tennant Company, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Tennant's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.1)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.43
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.4167
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.26
Wall Street Target Price
128
Using Tennant hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tennant Company from the perspective of Tennant response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tennant using Tennant's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tennant using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tennant's stock price.

Tennant Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Tennant's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Tennant. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Tennant stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
96.3267
Short Percent
0.0446
Short Ratio
2.9
Shares Short Prior Month
490.2 K
50 Day MA
85.0004

Tennant Company Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Tennant's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tennant. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tennant can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tennant Company. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Tennant's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Tennant.

Tennant Implied Volatility

    
  0.54  
Tennant's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tennant Company stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tennant's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tennant stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tennant's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tennant to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tennant because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Tennant after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 86.39  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Tennant contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Tennant Company will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Tennant trading at USD 86.39, that is roughly USD 0.0292 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Tennant's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Tennant Company options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Tennant Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.3686.2888.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
86.5388.4590.38
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
116.48128.00142.08
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.581.431.62
Details

Tennant After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Tennant at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tennant or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tennant, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Tennant Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Tennant's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tennant's historical news coverage. Tennant's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 84.47 and 88.31, respectively. We have considered Tennant's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
86.39
86.39
After-hype Price
88.31
Upside
Tennant is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tennant Company is based on 3 months time horizon.

Tennant Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tennant is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tennant backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tennant, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
1.92
  0.02 
  0.03 
10 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
86.39
86.39
0.00 
662.07  
Notes

Tennant Hype Timeline

On the 24th of January Tennant Company is traded for 86.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Tennant is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tennant is about 374.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 86.36. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Tennant was at this time reported as 34.29. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.01. Tennant Company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.67. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 26th of July 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Tennant Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Tennant Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Tennant's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tennant's future price movements. Getting to know how Tennant's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tennant may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FELEFranklin Electric Co(0.10)8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.20 (2.14) 13.66 
CIRCIRCOR International 0.11 7 per month 0.48  0.17  7.45 (2.85) 51.68 
OFLXOmega Flex 1.18 6 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.54 (3.06) 13.58 
LXFRLuxfer Holdings PLC(0.76)9 per month 1.82  0.03  3.52 (3.07) 18.80 
KAIKadant Inc(3.56)13 per month 1.56  0.08  3.28 (2.92) 11.67 
TAYDTaylor Devices(0.39)8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 4.36 (5.57) 30.54 
NPOEnpro Industries(0.62)8 per month 1.61  0.07  2.56 (2.27) 17.55 
IEXIDEX Corporation(0.41)10 per month 1.20  0.03  2.22 (1.71) 11.98 
WTSWatts Water Technologies(1.66)6 per month 1.56 (0) 2.07 (2.48) 10.43 
DCIDonaldson 0.88 6 per month 0.00 (0.07) 1.69 (1.84) 8.98 
GRCGorman Rupp 0.32 9 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.25 (2.56) 14.03 
EPACEnerpac Tool Group(1.82)7 per month 1.69 (0.01) 2.35 (2.90) 13.10 
HURCHurco Companies 0.16 6 per month 2.10  0.02  4.27 (3.04) 14.38 

Tennant Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Tennant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tennant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tennant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Tennant Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Tennant stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tennant Company, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tennant based on analysis of Tennant hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tennant's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tennant's related companies.
 2021 2022 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01170.01660.0212
Price To Sales Ratio1.371.040.82

Story Coverage note for Tennant

The number of cover stories for Tennant depends on current market conditions and Tennant's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tennant is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tennant's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Tennant Short Properties

Tennant's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tennant's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tennant Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tennant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tennant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments117.1 M

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When running Tennant's price analysis, check to measure Tennant's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tennant is operating at the current time. Most of Tennant's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tennant's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tennant's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tennant to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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