Turning Point Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator

TPB Stock  USD 117.68  0.51  0.43%   
Turning Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Turning Point stock prices and determine the direction of Turning Point Brands's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Turning Point's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of relative strength index of Turning Point's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Turning Point's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Turning Point Brands, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Turning Point's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.687
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.7933
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.88
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.1267
Wall Street Target Price
121.25
Using Turning Point hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Turning Point Brands from the perspective of Turning Point response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Turning Point using Turning Point's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Turning using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Turning Point's stock price.

Turning Point Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Turning Point's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Turning. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Turning Point stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
87.687
Short Percent
0.0639
Short Ratio
3.2
Shares Short Prior Month
1.4 M
50 Day MA
105.0776

Turning Point Brands Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Turning Point's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Turning. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Turning can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Turning Point Brands. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Turning Point Implied Volatility

    
  0.55  
Turning Point's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Turning Point Brands stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Turning Point's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Turning Point stock will not fluctuate a lot when Turning Point's options are near their expiration.

Turning Point after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 117.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Turning Point to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Turning contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Turning Point Brands will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Turning Point trading at USD 117.68, that is roughly USD 0.0405 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Turning Point's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Turning Point Brands options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Turning Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Turning Point's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Turning Point's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Turning Point stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Turning Point's open interest, investors have to compare it to Turning Point's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Turning Point is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Turning. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Turning Point Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Turning price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Turning using various technical indicators. When you analyze Turning charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Turning Point Brands has current Price Action Indicator of 0.24. Price Action indicator evaluates an asset for a given trading period using the following formula: ((close - open) + (close - high) + (close - low)) / 2. This indicator is consistent with the interpretation of Japanese candlestick patterns.
Check Turning Point VolatilityBacktest Turning PointInformation Ratio  

Turning Point Trading Date Momentum

On January 23 2026 Turning Point Brands was traded for  117.68  at the closing time. Highest Turning Point's price during the trading hours was 118.26  and the lowest price during the day was  116.11 . The net volume was 184.1 K. The overall trading history on the 23rd of January did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 0.01% .
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
Compare Turning Point to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Turning Point

For every potential investor in Turning, whether a beginner or expert, Turning Point's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Turning Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Turning. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Turning Point's price trends.

Turning Point Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Turning Point stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Turning Point could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Turning Point by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Turning Point Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Turning Point stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Turning Point shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Turning Point stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Turning Point Brands entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Turning Point Risk Indicators

The analysis of Turning Point's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Turning Point's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting turning stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Turning Point

The number of cover stories for Turning Point depends on current market conditions and Turning Point's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Turning Point is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Turning Point's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Turning Point Short Properties

Turning Point's future price predictability will typically decrease when Turning Point's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Turning Point Brands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Turning Point's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Turning Point's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments46.2 M
When determining whether Turning Point Brands offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Turning Point's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Turning Point Brands Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Turning Point Brands Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Turning Point to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Tobacco space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Turning Point. If investors know Turning will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Turning Point listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.687
Dividend Share
0.295
Earnings Share
3.24
Revenue Per Share
24.186
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.312
The market value of Turning Point Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Turning that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Turning Point's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Turning Point's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Turning Point's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Turning Point's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Turning Point's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Turning Point is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Turning Point's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.