Tyler Technologies Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TYL Stock | USD 434.76 5.82 1.32% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tyler Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 435.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 295.24. Tyler Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Tyler Technologies' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Tyler Technologies' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Tyler Technologies fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of Tyler Technologies' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.109 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.8136 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.4138 | EPS Estimate Next Year 12.564 | Wall Street Target Price 621.9524 |
Using Tyler Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tyler Technologies from the perspective of Tyler Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tyler Technologies using Tyler Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tyler using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tyler Technologies' stock price.
Tyler Technologies Short Interest
An investor who is long Tyler Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Tyler Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Tyler Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 527.7634 | Short Percent 0.0444 | Short Ratio 4.5 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 456.8104 |
Tyler Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Tyler Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tyler. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tyler can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tyler Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Tyler Technologies Implied Volatility | 0.51 |
Tyler Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tyler Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tyler Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tyler Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tyler Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tyler Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 435.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 295.24. Tyler Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 434.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tyler Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Tyler contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Tyler Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0319% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Tyler Technologies trading at USD 434.76, that is roughly USD 0.14 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Tyler Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Tyler Technologies options at the current volatility level of 0.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Tyler Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Tyler Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Tyler Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Tyler Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Tyler Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Tyler Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Tyler Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Tyler. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Tyler Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tyler price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tyler using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tyler charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tyler Technologies Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Tyler Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 435.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.92, mean absolute percentage error of 53.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 295.24.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tyler Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tyler Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tyler Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tyler Technologies | Tyler Technologies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Tyler Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tyler Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tyler Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 434.11 and 437.24, respectively. We have considered Tyler Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tyler Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tyler Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.2516 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 1.5443 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.9207 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0108 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 295.2413 |
Predictive Modules for Tyler Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tyler Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tyler Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tyler Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tyler Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tyler Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tyler Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tyler Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tyler Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tyler Technologies' historical news coverage. Tyler Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 432.52 and 435.66, respectively. We have considered Tyler Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tyler Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tyler Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tyler Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tyler Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tyler Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tyler Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.57 | 0.67 | 0.38 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
434.76 | 434.09 | 0.15 |
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Tyler Technologies Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Tyler Technologies is traded for 434.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.67, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.38. Tyler is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 434.09. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 58.58%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Tyler Technologies is about 103.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 434.38. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.02. Tyler Technologies recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.18. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of January 1990. The firm had 3:1 split on the 15th of May 1990. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tyler Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Tyler Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tyler Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tyler Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Tyler Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tyler Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SSNC | SSC Technologies Holdings | (3.25) | 28 per month | 1.09 | 0.04 | 1.85 | (1.91) | 7.41 | |
| PTC | PTC Inc | 3.30 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.77 | (2.79) | 9.25 | |
| GWRE | Guidewire Software | (2.68) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.38) | 2.03 | (4.96) | 10.41 | |
| TTD | Trade Desk | (2.68) | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 3.39 | (4.10) | 10.20 | |
| TOST | Toast Inc | (1.55) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.14 | (4.25) | 16.25 | |
| TRMB | Trimble | (2.68) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.64 | (3.70) | 9.57 | |
| CHKP | Check Point Software | (1.96) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.18 | (2.74) | 9.86 | |
| ON | ON Semiconductor | 0.55 | 10 per month | 2.11 | 0.05 | 4.71 | (4.13) | 16.50 | |
| BSY | Bentley Systems | (1.57) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 2.05 | (2.67) | 6.18 | |
| CDW | CDW Corp | (2.68) | 19 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.31 | (3.34) | 10.15 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tyler Technologies
For every potential investor in Tyler, whether a beginner or expert, Tyler Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tyler Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tyler. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tyler Technologies' price trends.Tyler Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tyler Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tyler Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tyler Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tyler Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tyler Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tyler Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tyler Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tyler Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 7040.68 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 436.31 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 435.79 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (4.46) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (5.82) |
Tyler Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tyler Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tyler Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tyler stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Variance | 2.36 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tyler Technologies
The number of cover stories for Tyler Technologies depends on current market conditions and Tyler Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tyler Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tyler Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tyler Technologies Short Properties
Tyler Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Tyler Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tyler Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tyler Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tyler Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 768 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tyler Technologies to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Tyler Stock please use our How to buy in Tyler Stock guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tyler Technologies. If investors know Tyler will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tyler Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.109 | Earnings Share 7.18 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Tyler Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tyler that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tyler Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tyler Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tyler Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tyler Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tyler Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tyler Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tyler Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.