United Airlines Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| UAL Stock | USD 117.32 1.85 1.60% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of United Airlines Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 117.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 122.62. United Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although United Airlines' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of United Airlines' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of United Airlines fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of United Airlines' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.8282 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.5214 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.0222 | Wall Street Target Price 129.2174 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.6736 |
Using United Airlines hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Airlines Holdings from the perspective of United Airlines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards United Airlines using United Airlines' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards United using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of United Airlines' stock price.
United Airlines Short Interest
An investor who is long United Airlines may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about United Airlines and may potentially protect profits, hedge United Airlines with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 90.6869 | Short Percent 0.0543 | Short Ratio 2.59 | Shares Short Prior Month 14.5 M | 50 Day MA 103.5314 |
United Airlines Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to United Airlines' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in United. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding United can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around United Airlines Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of United Airlines' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about United Airlines.
United Airlines Implied Volatility | 0.83 |
United Airlines' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of United Airlines Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if United Airlines' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that United Airlines stock will not fluctuate a lot when United Airlines' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of United Airlines Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 117.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 122.62. United Airlines after-hype prediction price | USD 117.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of United Airlines to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 United Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast United Airlines' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in United Airlines' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for United Airlines stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current United Airlines' open interest, investors have to compare it to United Airlines' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of United Airlines is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in United. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
United Airlines Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
United Airlines Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of United Airlines Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 117.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.08, mean absolute percentage error of 6.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 122.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict United Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that United Airlines' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
United Airlines Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest United Airlines | United Airlines Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
United Airlines Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting United Airlines' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. United Airlines' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 114.75 and 119.89, respectively. We have considered United Airlines' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of United Airlines stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent United Airlines stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.343 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4367 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0782 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0205 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 122.615 |
Predictive Modules for United Airlines
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Airlines Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for United Airlines
For every potential investor in United, whether a beginner or expert, United Airlines' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. United Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in United. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying United Airlines' price trends.United Airlines Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with United Airlines stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of United Airlines could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United Airlines by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
United Airlines Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of United Airlines' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of United Airlines' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
United Airlines Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how United Airlines stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading United Airlines shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying United Airlines stock market strength indicators, traders can identify United Airlines Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
United Airlines Risk Indicators
The analysis of United Airlines' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in United Airlines' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting united stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Variance | 6.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.74 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Airlines. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Airlines listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 9.98 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.026 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of United Airlines Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Airlines' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Airlines' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Airlines' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Airlines' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Airlines' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Airlines is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Airlines' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.