Latam Airlines Group Stock Price Prediction
| LTM Stock | USD 27.71 0.78 2.74% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using LATAM Airlines hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LATAM Airlines Group from the perspective of LATAM Airlines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LATAM Airlines to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LATAM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
LATAM Airlines after-hype prediction price | USD 27.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LATAM |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LATAM Airlines' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LATAM Airlines After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LATAM Airlines at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LATAM Airlines or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LATAM Airlines, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LATAM Airlines Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LATAM Airlines' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LATAM Airlines' historical news coverage. LATAM Airlines' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.31 and 29.11, respectively. We have considered LATAM Airlines' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LATAM Airlines is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LATAM Airlines Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
LATAM Airlines Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LATAM Airlines is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LATAM Airlines backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LATAM Airlines, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.40 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.71 | 27.71 | 0.00 |
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LATAM Airlines Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November LATAM Airlines Group is traded for 27.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. LATAM is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on LATAM Airlines is about 583.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.68. The company last dividend was issued on the 21st of May 2020. LATAM Airlines Group had a split on the 16th of August 2007. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out LATAM Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.LATAM Airlines Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LATAM Airlines' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LATAM Airlines' future price movements. Getting to know how LATAM Airlines' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LATAM Airlines may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALVO | Alvotech | 0.52 | 8 per month | 1.50 | (0.05) | 3.15 | (2.83) | 8.63 | |
| TFX | Teleflex Incorporated | (2.48) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.71 | (1.92) | 17.00 | |
| MASS | 908 Devices | (0.20) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.83 | (5.82) | 30.05 | |
| AQST | Aquestive Therapeutics | (0.24) | 7 per month | 4.02 | (0.02) | 6.51 | (7.31) | 20.28 | |
| NUVL | Nuvalent | 1.20 | 10 per month | 2.69 | 0.03 | 3.84 | (4.61) | 36.85 |
LATAM Airlines Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LATAM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LATAM using various technical indicators. When you analyze LATAM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About LATAM Airlines Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of LATAM Airlines stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LATAM Airlines Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LATAM Airlines based on analysis of LATAM Airlines hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LATAM Airlines's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LATAM Airlines's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 5.51 | 12.54 | 7.49 | 5.76 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 21.13 | 21.52 | 24.54 | 15.27 |
Story Coverage note for LATAM Airlines
The number of cover stories for LATAM Airlines depends on current market conditions and LATAM Airlines' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LATAM Airlines is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LATAM Airlines' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LATAM Airlines Short Properties
LATAM Airlines' future price predictability will typically decrease when LATAM Airlines' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LATAM Airlines Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LATAM Airlines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LATAM Airlines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 302.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 B |
Check out LATAM Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LATAM Airlines. If investors know LATAM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LATAM Airlines listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of LATAM Airlines Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LATAM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LATAM Airlines' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LATAM Airlines' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LATAM Airlines' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LATAM Airlines' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LATAM Airlines' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LATAM Airlines is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LATAM Airlines' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.