Ulta Beauty Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| ULTA Stock | USD 690.37 12.46 1.84% |
Ulta Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ulta Beauty stock prices and determine the direction of Ulta Beauty's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Ulta Beauty's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Ulta Beauty's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 25.5727 | EPS Estimate Next Year 28.4862 | Wall Street Target Price 677.1667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 4.6004 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.129 |
Using Ulta Beauty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ulta Beauty from the perspective of Ulta Beauty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ulta Beauty using Ulta Beauty's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ulta using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ulta Beauty's stock price.
Ulta Beauty Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Ulta Beauty's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Ulta. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Ulta Beauty stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 522.1586 | Short Percent 0.0648 | Short Ratio 3.73 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 618.6366 |
Ulta Relative Strength Index
Ulta Beauty Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ulta Beauty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ulta. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ulta can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ulta Beauty. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ulta Beauty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ulta Beauty.
Ulta Beauty Implied Volatility | 0.26 |
Ulta Beauty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ulta Beauty stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ulta Beauty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ulta Beauty stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ulta Beauty's options are near their expiration.
Ulta Beauty after-hype prediction price | USD 691.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ulta Beauty to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ulta contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ulta Beauty will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0163% per day over the life of the 2026-03-27 option contract. With Ulta Beauty trading at USD 690.37, that is roughly USD 0.11 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ulta Beauty's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ulta Beauty options at the current volatility level of 0.26%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-27 Ulta Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ulta Beauty's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ulta Beauty's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ulta Beauty stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ulta Beauty's open interest, investors have to compare it to Ulta Beauty's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ulta Beauty is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ulta. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Ulta Beauty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ulta price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ulta using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ulta charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 10213.25 | 0.0218 |
| Check Ulta Beauty Volatility | Backtest Ulta Beauty | Information Ratio |
Ulta Beauty Trading Date Momentum
| On February 08 2026 Ulta Beauty was traded for 690.37 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 692.60 and the lowest listed price was 677.48 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 8, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 1.32% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Ulta Beauty to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Ulta Beauty
For every potential investor in Ulta, whether a beginner or expert, Ulta Beauty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ulta Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ulta. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ulta Beauty's price trends.Ulta Beauty Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ulta Beauty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ulta Beauty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ulta Beauty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ulta Beauty Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ulta Beauty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ulta Beauty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ulta Beauty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ulta Beauty entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0218 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8241 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 685.04 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 686.82 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 15.12 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 11.56 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 12.46 |
Ulta Beauty Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ulta Beauty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ulta Beauty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ulta stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Variance | 4.73 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.28 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.81) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ulta Beauty
The number of cover stories for Ulta Beauty depends on current market conditions and Ulta Beauty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ulta Beauty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ulta Beauty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Ulta Beauty Short Properties
Ulta Beauty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ulta Beauty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ulta Beauty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ulta Beauty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ulta Beauty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 703.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ulta Beauty to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Ulta Stock refer to our How to Trade Ulta Stock guide.You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ulta Beauty. If investors know Ulta will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Ulta Beauty assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share 26.03 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.129 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Ulta Beauty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ulta that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ulta Beauty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ulta Beauty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ulta Beauty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ulta Beauty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ulta Beauty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ulta Beauty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Ulta Beauty's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.