Western New Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| WNEB Stock | USD 12.75 0.45 3.41% |
Western Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Western New stock prices and determine the direction of Western New England's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Western New's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of Western New's share price is at 53. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Western New, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Western New hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Western New England from the perspective of Western New response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Western New England on the next trading day is expected to be 13.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.15. Western New after-hype prediction price | USD 12.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Western New to cross-verify your projections. Western New Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Western price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Western using various technical indicators. When you analyze Western charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Western New Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Western New England on the next trading day is expected to be 13.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Western Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Western New's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Western New Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Western New | Western New Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Western New Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Western New's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Western New's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.94 and 14.95, respectively. We have considered Western New's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Western New stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Western New stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2247 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1991 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.016 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.1461 |
Predictive Modules for Western New
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Western New England. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Western New's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Western New After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Western New at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Western New or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Western New, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Western New Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Western New's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Western New's historical news coverage. Western New's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.24 and 14.26, respectively. We have considered Western New's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Western New is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Western New England is based on 3 months time horizon.
Western New Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Western New is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Western New backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Western New, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.51 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.75 | 12.75 | 0.00 |
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Western New Hype Timeline
Western New England is at this time traded for 12.75. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Western is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Western New is about 3871.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.76. About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.07. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Western New England has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.63. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of November 2025. The firm had 328138:100000 split on the 4th of January 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Western New to cross-verify your projections.Western New Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Western New's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Western New's future price movements. Getting to know how Western New's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Western New may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PVBC | Provident Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.32 | 3.05 | (0.86) | 1.65 | |
| ISTR | Investar Holding Corp | 0.33 | 7 per month | 0.63 | 0.18 | 2.78 | (1.54) | 8.74 | |
| MYFW | First Western Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.88 | 0.04 | 2.51 | (1.98) | 13.75 | |
| FUNC | First United | 0.11 | 7 per month | 1.74 | 0.02 | 3.79 | (2.74) | 10.37 | |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | 0.06 | 11 per month | 0.71 | 0.16 | 3.09 | (1.49) | 6.11 | |
| CHMG | Chemung Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | 0.05 | 3.34 | (2.63) | 8.78 | |
| FVCB | FVCBankcorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.00 | 0.13 | 2.69 | (1.74) | 9.82 | |
| LCNB | LCNB Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | 0.08 | 2.81 | (2.13) | 8.02 | |
| CFFI | CF Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.73 | 0 | 3.49 | (2.75) | 8.22 | |
| BPRN | Bank Of Princeton | (0.11) | 9 per month | 1.15 | 0.15 | 3.27 | (2.68) | 9.93 |
Other Forecasting Options for Western New
For every potential investor in Western, whether a beginner or expert, Western New's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Western Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Western. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Western New's price trends.Western New Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Western New stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Western New could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Western New by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Western New Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Western New stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Western New shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Western New stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Western New England entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Western New Risk Indicators
The analysis of Western New's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Western New's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting western stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Variance | 2.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.73 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.06 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Western New
The number of cover stories for Western New depends on current market conditions and Western New's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Western New is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Western New's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Western New Short Properties
Western New's future price predictability will typically decrease when Western New's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Western New England often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Western New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Western New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 217.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Western New to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Western New. If investors know Western will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Western New listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Western New England is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Western that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Western New's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Western New's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Western New's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Western New's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Western New's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Western New is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Western New's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.