Terawulf Stock Forward View

WULF Stock  USD 13.06  1.48  10.18%   
Terawulf Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Terawulf's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Terawulf's share price is approaching 46. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Terawulf, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 46

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Terawulf's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Terawulf and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Terawulf's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Terawulf, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Terawulf's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.1)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.45)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.54)
Wall Street Target Price
22.1042
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.05)
Using Terawulf hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Terawulf from the perspective of Terawulf response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Terawulf using Terawulf's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Terawulf using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Terawulf's stock price.

Terawulf Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Terawulf's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Terawulf. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Terawulf stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
8.9162
Short Percent
0.2872
Short Ratio
4.12
Shares Short Prior Month
93.9 M
50 Day MA
13.3182

Terawulf Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Terawulf on the next trading day is expected to be 12.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.38.

Terawulf Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Terawulf's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Terawulf. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Terawulf can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Terawulf. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Terawulf's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Terawulf.

Terawulf Implied Volatility

    
  1.11  
Terawulf's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Terawulf stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Terawulf's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Terawulf stock will not fluctuate a lot when Terawulf's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Terawulf on the next trading day is expected to be 12.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.38.

Terawulf after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Terawulf to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Terawulf Stock please use our How to Invest in Terawulf guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Terawulf contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Terawulf will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0694% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Terawulf trading at USD 13.06, that is roughly USD 0.00906 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Terawulf's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Terawulf options at the current volatility level of 1.11%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Terawulf Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Terawulf's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Terawulf's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Terawulf stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Terawulf's open interest, investors have to compare it to Terawulf's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Terawulf is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Terawulf. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Terawulf Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Terawulf price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Terawulf using various technical indicators. When you analyze Terawulf charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Terawulf Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Terawulf's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1999-09-30
Previous Quarter
90 M
Current Value
711.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
95 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Terawulf is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Terawulf value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Terawulf Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Terawulf on the next trading day is expected to be 12.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79, mean absolute percentage error of 0.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Terawulf Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Terawulf's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Terawulf Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Terawulf  Terawulf Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Terawulf Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Terawulf's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Terawulf's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.76 and 18.19, respectively. We have considered Terawulf's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.06
12.47
Expected Value
18.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Terawulf stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Terawulf stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.9682
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7931
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0597
SAESum of the absolute errors48.3802
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Terawulf. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Terawulf. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Terawulf

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Terawulf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.8314.5420.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2416.9522.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.0813.2615.43
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.1122.1024.54
Details

Terawulf After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Terawulf at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Terawulf or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Terawulf, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Terawulf Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Terawulf's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Terawulf's historical news coverage. Terawulf's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.83 and 20.25, respectively. We have considered Terawulf's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.06
14.54
After-hype Price
20.25
Upside
Terawulf is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Terawulf is based on 3 months time horizon.

Terawulf Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Terawulf is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Terawulf backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Terawulf, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
5.71
 0.00  
 0.00  
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.06
14.54
0.00 
1,543  
Notes

Terawulf Hype Timeline

Terawulf is at this time traded for 13.06. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Terawulf is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Terawulf is about 3154.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.06. About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.45. Terawulf had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 3:2 split on the 14th of May 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Terawulf to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Terawulf Stock please use our How to Invest in Terawulf guide.

Terawulf Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Terawulf's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Terawulf's future price movements. Getting to know how Terawulf's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Terawulf may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PIPRPiper Sandler Companies(4.74)10 per month 2.21 (0.02) 3.02 (3.13) 9.28 
MKTXMarketAxess Holdings(1.13)10 per month 1.68 (0.04) 2.52 (2.77) 9.15 
HUTHut 8 Corp 0.15 12 per month 6.91  0.08  13.61 (12.53) 28.54 
CIFRCipher Mining 1.43 9 per month 0.00 (0.01) 12.10 (10.41) 36.13 
RIOTRiot Blockchain(1.04)11 per month 0.00 (0.06) 8.37 (7.00) 22.19 
PFSIPennyMac Finl Svcs 2.06 9 per month 1.33  0.08  2.26 (1.78) 11.99 
SNEXStonex Group 1.55 10 per month 2.05  0.06  4.36 (3.12) 9.30 
VIRTVirtu Financial(0.14)11 per month 1.31  0.14  2.81 (2.00) 6.62 
RJFRaymond James Financial(0.11)7 per month 1.33  0.0003  2.22 (2.20) 5.52 
MCMoelis Co 0.16 10 per month 2.11  0.03  3.36 (3.84) 9.78 

Other Forecasting Options for Terawulf

For every potential investor in Terawulf, whether a beginner or expert, Terawulf's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Terawulf Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Terawulf. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Terawulf's price trends.

Terawulf Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Terawulf stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Terawulf could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Terawulf by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Terawulf Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Terawulf stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Terawulf shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Terawulf stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Terawulf entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Terawulf Risk Indicators

The analysis of Terawulf's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Terawulf's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting terawulf stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Terawulf

The number of cover stories for Terawulf depends on current market conditions and Terawulf's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Terawulf is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Terawulf's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Terawulf Short Properties

Terawulf's future price predictability will typically decrease when Terawulf's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Terawulf often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Terawulf's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Terawulf's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding351.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments274.1 M
When determining whether Terawulf is a strong investment it is important to analyze Terawulf's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Terawulf's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Terawulf Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Terawulf to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Terawulf Stock please use our How to Invest in Terawulf guide.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Can Asset Management & Custody Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does Terawulf have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Terawulf. Anticipated expansion of Terawulf directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Terawulf demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Earnings Share
(1.45)
Revenue Per Share
0.429
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.869
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(1.82)
The market value of Terawulf is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Terawulf that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Terawulf's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Terawulf's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Terawulf's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Terawulf's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Terawulf's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Terawulf is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Terawulf's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.