Amalgamated Bank Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 41.39

AMAL Stock  USD 41.39  1.09  2.70%   
Amalgamated Bank's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Amalgamated Bank. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Amalgamated Bank based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Amalgamated Bank over a specific time period. For example, AMAL260515C00040000 is a PUT option contract on Amalgamated Bank's common stock with a strick price of 40.0 expiring on 2026-05-15. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 88 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.25, and an ask price of $6.0. The implied volatility as of the 17th of February 2026 is 88.0. View All Amalgamated options

Closest to current price Amalgamated long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Amalgamated Bank's future price is the expected price of Amalgamated Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amalgamated Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amalgamated Bank Analysis, Amalgamated Bank Valuation, Amalgamated Bank Correlation, Amalgamated Bank Hype Analysis, Amalgamated Bank Volatility, Amalgamated Bank Price History as well as Amalgamated Bank Performance.
For more information on how to buy Amalgamated Stock please use our How to buy in Amalgamated Stock guide.At this time, Amalgamated Bank's Price Sales Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Please specify Amalgamated Bank's target price for which you would like Amalgamated Bank odds to be computed.

Amalgamated Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 41.39

The tendency of Amalgamated Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 41.39 90 days 41.39 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amalgamated Bank to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Amalgamated Bank probability density function shows the probability of Amalgamated Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.22 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Amalgamated Bank will likely underperform. Additionally Amalgamated Bank has an alpha of 0.5267, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Amalgamated Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amalgamated Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amalgamated Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.1141.1043.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.5842.5744.56
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
36.8640.5044.96
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.991.001.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amalgamated Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amalgamated Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amalgamated Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amalgamated Bank.

Amalgamated Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amalgamated Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amalgamated Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amalgamated Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amalgamated Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.22
σ
Overall volatility
4.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.26

Amalgamated Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amalgamated Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amalgamated Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Embrace Home Loans to Provide Home Mortgages to Amalgamated Banks Customers

Amalgamated Bank Technical Analysis

Amalgamated Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amalgamated Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amalgamated Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amalgamated Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amalgamated Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Amalgamated Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amalgamated Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amalgamated Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amalgamated Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amalgamated Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amalgamated Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Embrace Home Loans to Provide Home Mortgages to Amalgamated Banks Customers
When determining whether Amalgamated Bank is a strong investment it is important to analyze Amalgamated Bank's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Amalgamated Bank's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Amalgamated Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Amalgamated Bank Analysis, Amalgamated Bank Valuation, Amalgamated Bank Correlation, Amalgamated Bank Hype Analysis, Amalgamated Bank Volatility, Amalgamated Bank Price History as well as Amalgamated Bank Performance.
For more information on how to buy Amalgamated Stock please use our How to buy in Amalgamated Stock guide.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amalgamated Bank. If investors know Amalgamated will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Amalgamated Bank assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.107
Dividend Share
0.56
Earnings Share
3.32
Revenue Per Share
10.02
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.074
The market value of Amalgamated Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amalgamated that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amalgamated Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amalgamated Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amalgamated Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amalgamated Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Amalgamated Bank's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Amalgamated Bank represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Amalgamated Bank's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.