American Woodmark Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 68.67
| AMWD Stock | USD 68.67 1.83 2.74% |
Closest to current price American long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
American Woodmark Target Price Odds to finish over 68.67
The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 68.67 | 90 days | 68.67 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Woodmark to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This American Woodmark probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
American Woodmark Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Woodmark
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Woodmark. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Woodmark's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Woodmark Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Woodmark is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Woodmark's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Woodmark, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Woodmark within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
American Woodmark Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Woodmark for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Woodmark can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: How The MasterBrand Deal Is Rewriting American Woodmarks Story And Valuation Outlook |
American Woodmark Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Woodmark's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Woodmark's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 48.2 M |
American Woodmark Technical Analysis
American Woodmark's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Woodmark. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Woodmark Predictive Forecast Models
American Woodmark's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Woodmark's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Woodmark's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Woodmark
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Woodmark for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Woodmark help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: How The MasterBrand Deal Is Rewriting American Woodmarks Story And Valuation Outlook |
Check out American Woodmark Analysis, American Woodmark Valuation, American Woodmark Correlation, American Woodmark Hype Analysis, American Woodmark Volatility, American Woodmark Price History as well as American Woodmark Performance. For information on how to trade American Stock refer to our How to Trade American Stock guide.You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Will Building Products sector continue expanding? Could American diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Woodmark. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every American Woodmark data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.77) | Earnings Share 4.2 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate American Woodmark using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating American Woodmark's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause American Woodmark's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that American Woodmark's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether American Woodmark represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, American Woodmark's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.