American Woodmark Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| AMWD Stock | USD 81.01 0.25 0.31% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of American Woodmark on the next trading day is expected to be 76.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 192.12. American Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast American Woodmark stock prices and determine the direction of American Woodmark's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of American Woodmark's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
American |
Open Interest Against 2025-04-17 American Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast American Woodmark's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in American Woodmark's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for American Woodmark stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current American Woodmark's open interest, investors have to compare it to American Woodmark's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of American Woodmark is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in American. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
American Woodmark Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of American Woodmark on the next trading day is expected to be 76.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.10, mean absolute percentage error of 14.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 192.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Woodmark's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
American Woodmark Stock Forecast Pattern
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American Woodmark Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting American Woodmark's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. American Woodmark's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 74.53 and 78.89, respectively. We have considered American Woodmark's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Woodmark stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Woodmark stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.5903 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.0988 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0342 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 192.1243 |
Predictive Modules for American Woodmark
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Woodmark. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Woodmark's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for American Woodmark
For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Woodmark's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Woodmark's price trends.American Woodmark Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Woodmark stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Woodmark could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Woodmark by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American Woodmark Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of American Woodmark's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of American Woodmark's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
American Woodmark Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Woodmark stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Woodmark shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Woodmark stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Woodmark entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1639.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1678 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 81.69 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 81.46 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.55) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.25 |
American Woodmark Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Woodmark's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Woodmark's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Variance | 5.04 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| BTC | Bitcoin | |
| TRX | TRON | |
| BNB | Binance Coin |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Woodmark to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade American Stock refer to our How to Trade American Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Woodmark. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Woodmark listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Earnings Share 6.76 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) | Return On Assets |
The market value of American Woodmark is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Woodmark's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Woodmark's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Woodmark's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Woodmark's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Woodmark's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Woodmark is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Woodmark's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.