Ames National Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.42
| ATLO Stock | USD 16.90 0.53 3.04% |
Ames |
Ames National Target Price Odds to finish below 12.42
The tendency of Ames Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.42 or more in 90 days |
| 16.90 | 90 days | 12.42 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ames National to drop to $ 12.42 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ames National probability density function shows the probability of Ames Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ames National price to stay between $ 12.42 and its current price of $16.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.33 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.66 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ames National will likely underperform. Additionally Ames National has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ames National Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ames National
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ames National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ames National Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ames National is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ames National's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ames National, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ames National within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Ames National Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ames National for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ames National can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ames National generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Ames National paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Larson James R Ii of 200 shares of Ames National at 17.95 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Ames National Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ames Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ames National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ames National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 800.4 M |
Ames National Technical Analysis
Ames National's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ames Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ames National. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ames Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ames National Predictive Forecast Models
Ames National's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ames National's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ames National's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ames National
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ames National for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ames National help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ames National generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Ames National paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Larson James R Ii of 200 shares of Ames National at 17.95 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Ames National Backtesting, Ames National Valuation, Ames National Correlation, Ames National Hype Analysis, Ames National Volatility, Ames National History as well as Ames National Performance. To learn how to invest in Ames Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ames National guide.You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ames National. If investors know Ames will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ames National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Dividend Share 1.01 | Earnings Share 0.97 | Revenue Per Share 5.679 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Ames National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ames that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ames National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ames National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ames National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ames National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ames National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ames National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ames National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.