Bank First National Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 66.25
| BFC Stock | USD 106.28 0.76 0.71% |
Bank |
Bank First Target Price Odds to finish below 66.25
The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 66.25 or more in 90 days |
| 106.28 | 90 days | 66.25 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank First to drop to $ 66.25 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bank First National probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank First National price to stay between $ 66.25 and its current price of $106.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.47 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Bank First will likely underperform. Additionally Bank First National has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bank First Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bank First
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank First National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bank First Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank First is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank First's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank First National, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank First within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Bank First Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank First for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank First National can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| On 9th of October 2024 Bank First paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 2078 shares by Michael Molepske of Bank First at 71.04 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Bank First Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank First's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank First's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 247.5 M |
Bank First Technical Analysis
Bank First's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank First National. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bank First Predictive Forecast Models
Bank First's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank First's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank First's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bank First National
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank First for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank First National help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| On 9th of October 2024 Bank First paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 2078 shares by Michael Molepske of Bank First at 71.04 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Bank First Backtesting, Bank First Valuation, Bank First Correlation, Bank First Hype Analysis, Bank First Volatility, Bank First History as well as Bank First Performance. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bank First. If investors know Bank will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bank First listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.158 | Dividend Share 1.4 | Earnings Share 8.16 | Revenue Per Share 18.208 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.037 |
The market value of Bank First National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bank that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bank First's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bank First's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bank First's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bank First's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank First's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank First is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank First's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.