Bank First Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| BFC Stock | USD 104.62 0.00 0.00% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bank First National on the next trading day is expected to be 105.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.70. Bank Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Bank First stock prices and determine the direction of Bank First National's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bank First's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Bank |
Bank First Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bank First National on the next trading day is expected to be 105.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.76, mean absolute percentage error of 6.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bank Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bank First's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bank First Stock Forecast Pattern
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Bank First Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bank First's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bank First's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 102.83 and 107.93, respectively. We have considered Bank First's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bank First stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bank First stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.5767 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.7617 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0185 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 105.7 |
Predictive Modules for Bank First
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank First National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Bank First
For every potential investor in Bank, whether a beginner or expert, Bank First's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bank Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bank First's price trends.View Bank First Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bank First National Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bank First's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bank First's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Bank First Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bank First stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bank First shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bank First stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bank First National entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 409.8 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 105.56 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 105.24 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.93) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 34.3 |
Bank First Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bank First's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bank First's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bank stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Variance | 6.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.99 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Bank First National offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Bank First's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bank First National Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bank First National Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank First to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bank First. If investors know Bank will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bank First listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.158 | Dividend Share 1.4 | Earnings Share 8.14 | Revenue Per Share 18.208 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.037 |
The market value of Bank First National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bank that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bank First's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bank First's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bank First's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bank First's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank First's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank First is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank First's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.