Cf Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 57.08
| CFFI Stock | USD 78.93 2.11 2.75% |
CFFI |
CF Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 57.08
The tendency of CFFI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 57.08 or more in 90 days |
| 78.93 | 90 days | 57.08 | about 20.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CF Financial to drop to $ 57.08 or more in 90 days from now is about 20.8 (This CF Financial probability density function shows the probability of CFFI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CF Financial price to stay between $ 57.08 and its current price of $78.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 suggesting CF Financial market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, CF Financial is expected to follow. Additionally CF Financial has an alpha of 0.3038, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CF Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CF Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CF Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CF Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CF Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CF Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CF Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CF Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
CF Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CF Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CF Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CF Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 1st of October 2024 CF Financial paid $ 0.44 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: CF Financial Rating Lowered to Hold at StockNews.com |
CF Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CFFI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CF Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CF Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 478.8 M |
CF Financial Technical Analysis
CF Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CFFI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CF Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing CFFI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CF Financial Predictive Forecast Models
CF Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many CF Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CF Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CF Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about CF Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CF Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CF Financial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 1st of October 2024 CF Financial paid $ 0.44 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: CF Financial Rating Lowered to Hold at StockNews.com |
Check out CF Financial Backtesting, CF Financial Valuation, CF Financial Correlation, CF Financial Hype Analysis, CF Financial Volatility, CF Financial History as well as CF Financial Performance. For more detail on how to invest in CFFI Stock please use our How to Invest in CF Financial guide.You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CF Financial. If investors know CFFI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CF Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 1.76 | Earnings Share 5.66 | Revenue Per Share 34.42 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.04 |
The market value of CF Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CFFI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CF Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CF Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CF Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CF Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CF Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CF Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CF Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.