CF Financial Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| CFFI Stock | USD 75.30 0.50 0.67% |
CFFI Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CF Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 31st of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of CF Financial's share price is at 58 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CF Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
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Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.321 | Wall Street Target Price 34 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.113 |
Using CF Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CF Financial from the perspective of CF Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CF Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 72.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 108.00. CF Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 75.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CF Financial to cross-verify your projections. CF Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CFFI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CFFI using various technical indicators. When you analyze CFFI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CF Financial Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of CF Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 72.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.74, mean absolute percentage error of 5.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 108.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CFFI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CF Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CF Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CF Financial | CF Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
CF Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CF Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CF Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 70.97 and 74.83, respectively. We have considered CF Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CF Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CF Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.5656 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.7419 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0243 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 107.9986 |
Predictive Modules for CF Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CF Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CF Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CF Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CF Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CF Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CF Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CF Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CF Financial's historical news coverage. CF Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 73.41 and 77.27, respectively. We have considered CF Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CF Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CF Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
CF Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CF Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CF Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CF Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.93 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
75.30 | 75.34 | 0.05 |
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CF Financial Hype Timeline
CF Financial is currently traded for 75.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. CFFI is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 75.34 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on CF Financial is about 1312.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 75.27. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 129.29 M. Net Income was 26.99 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 125.43 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CF Financial to cross-verify your projections.CF Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CF Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CF Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how CF Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CF Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LCNB | LCNB Corporation | (0.02) | 8 per month | 1.37 | 0.07 | 2.81 | (2.13) | 8.02 | |
| FVCB | FVCBankcorp | (0.02) | 10 per month | 1.05 | 0.13 | 2.70 | (2.04) | 9.86 | |
| FUNC | First United | (0.18) | 8 per month | 1.82 | 0 | 2.92 | (2.74) | 11.47 | |
| VABK | Virginia National Bankshares | (0.69) | 9 per month | 1.52 | (0.01) | 3.27 | (2.28) | 8.40 | |
| HWBK | Hawthorn Bancshares | 0.74 | 11 per month | 2.15 | 0.07 | 4.04 | (4.01) | 12.58 | |
| ISTR | Investar Holding Corp | 0.22 | 7 per month | 0.75 | 0.12 | 2.68 | (1.54) | 5.37 | |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial | 0.34 | 7 per month | 1.32 | 0.03 | 2.61 | (1.96) | 9.58 | |
| BPRN | Bank Of Princeton | (0.04) | 7 per month | 1.29 | 0.14 | 3.27 | (2.68) | 9.93 | |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | (0.40) | 7 per month | 0.80 | 0.11 | 2.88 | (1.49) | 6.25 | |
| MYFW | First Western Financial | (1.42) | 9 per month | 1.88 | 0.07 | 3.14 | (2.07) | 13.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for CF Financial
For every potential investor in CFFI, whether a beginner or expert, CF Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CFFI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CFFI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CF Financial's price trends.CF Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CF Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CF Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CF Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CF Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CF Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CF Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CF Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CF Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CF Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of CF Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CF Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cffi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Variance | 3.49 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.2 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.76 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.55) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CF Financial
The number of cover stories for CF Financial depends on current market conditions and CF Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CF Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CF Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CF Financial Short Properties
CF Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when CF Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CF Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CF Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CF Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.2 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.84 | |
| Shares Float | 3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CF Financial to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in CFFI Stock please use our How to Invest in CF Financial guide.You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is there potential for Regional Banks market expansion? Will CFFI introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CF Financial. Projected growth potential of CFFI fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about CF Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.321 | Dividend Share 1.82 | Earnings Share 8.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.113 |
Investors evaluate CF Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating CF Financial's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause CF Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between CF Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CF Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, CF Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.